@drunken-blind
#2,955,512400xbee862c76eea021f785d2eeebb9ab96782475309
~88d· 111 markets · 349 tradesVol: $20,2872026-08-04 19:44:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
85% (90/106)20/20
0.14x (win $482 / loss $3,474)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3880/15
Sortino -4.2930/10
$-0.2204 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 282 (106 markets)10/10
50/60 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 1402% of peak ($3,265 / $233)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 85%
Consistent
50/60 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,404$-1,298Vol: $19,660
🎭 CULTURE#85,604$6Vol: $445
📈 ECONOMICS#172,780$0Vol: $182
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,287
Total Redeem
$581
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
111
total markets
Trades
257B / 92S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $212
Month
$-1
Vol: $212
All Time
$-1,292
Vol: $20,287
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
85%
90W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-1,292
Win Rate
85%
90W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-248
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $185 (0.1435782693186129% of PnL)
Top Winners
Hezbollah strike on Israel by January 31?$89
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?$51
Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?$45
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$23
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$22
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?$19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$15
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,190
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$-860
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-600
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-348
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?$-211
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-80
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-79
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-60
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$-30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.107
HHI
296
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.205
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
27.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.52
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)96.5%
Sessions
#1212/21/2025, 7:17:10 PM2 trades$6801 min
1/20/2026, 9:28:20 PM2 trades$6001 min
3/14/2026, 11:45:25 AM2 trades$5791 min
2/16/2026, 11:40:15 AM6 trades$5158 min
2/1/2026, 10:41:04 AM2 trades$4572 min
8/2/2026, 10:34:33 AM2 trades$4200 min
3/17/2026, 1:07:13 AM2 trades$4003 min
2/1/2026, 10:28:40 AM7 trades$3817 min
4/4/2026, 11:33:43 AM11 trades$3734 min
4/3/2026, 8:12:25 AM10 trades$3522 min
5/10/2026, 9:03:18 AM3 trades$3410 min
3/8/2026, 7:40:05 AM10 trades$3406 min
5/24/2026, 11:00:40 AM11 trades$3015 min
3/13/2026, 11:45:09 PM1 trades$3000 min
3/7/2026, 7:19:05 PM2 trades$2932 min
3/2/2026, 10:00:49 AM3 trades$2912 min
3/12/2026, 11:46:43 PM1 trades$2860 min
2/5/2026, 8:40:43 PM4 trades$2803 min
4/12/2026, 8:31:23 PM3 trades$2740 min
3/5/2026, 12:54:19 AM2 trades$2551 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-19
02-09
02-27
03-12
03-28
05-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M1.9 / H96.5