@0xbEFFB2…1012

#2,863,70534

0xbeffb2418b31ad29527ef79ae8f4bc6e118508e4

~73d· 535 markets · 1403 tradesVol: $55,6102026-08-04 17:18:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (310/499)16.1/20
0.66x (win $1,759 / loss $2,686)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4760/15
Sortino -1.7040/10
$-0.0390 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 510 (499 markets)10/10
35/56 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 245% of peak ($2,064 / $841)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Consistent
35/56 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#274,052$-43Vol: $24,440
🏛️ POLITICS#1,582,033$-314Vol: $23,603
📈 ECONOMICS#654,265$-71Vol: $3,311
⚽ SPORTS#1,641,639$-74Vol: $1,542
₿ CRYPTO#1,285,901$-23Vol: $1,003
💰 FINANCE#605,755$-29Vol: $824
🎭 CULTURE#41,245$29Vol: $614

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-557
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,610
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
535
total markets
Trades
666B / 737S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$26
Vol: $0
Week
$26
Vol: $95
Month
$14
Vol: $95
All Time
$-557
Vol: $55,610

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
310W / 189L events
Realized PnL
$-557
Win Rate
62%
310W / 189L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,044 (1.8744657927814692% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$773
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$162
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$109
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$41
Another pandemic before GTA VI?$40
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$40
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$27
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?$22

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,269
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-251
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-239
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-237
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$-65
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 22?$-50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-29
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.076
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
471
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
41.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — normal3.7 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)62.5%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 7:35:49 AM7 trades$2,0070 min
3/29/2026, 5:47:52 PM2 trades$1,8810 min
4/5/2026, 9:33:41 AM10 trades$1,7871 min
3/30/2026, 5:21:48 AM2 trades$1,7820 min
3/29/2026, 7:50:10 PM16 trades$1,6889 min
3/25/2026, 6:49:47 PM2 trades$1,4952 min
4/29/2026, 2:28:50 AM26 trades$1,3549 min
3/30/2026, 10:53:58 AM6 trades$1,3501 min
4/4/2026, 9:33:41 AM12 trades$1,2193 min
4/28/2026, 5:25:28 AM16 trades$1,0633 min
5/10/2026, 2:27:10 PM3 trades$1,0430 min
4/2/2026, 1:50:33 PM4 trades$8760 min
5/10/2026, 2:38:39 PM21 trades$8026 min
5/13/2026, 8:48:32 AM2 trades$7430 min
5/1/2026, 5:16:34 AM11 trades$7273 min
4/27/2026, 5:07:32 AM21 trades$7151 min
5/8/2026, 5:35:21 PM18 trades$6695 min
5/1/2026, 5:26:08 AM18 trades$6536 min
5/3/2026, 3:30:40 AM17 trades$6204 min
4/30/2026, 5:46:26 AM17 trades$6017 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-21
04-02
04-24
05-03
05-14
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.7 / M28.8 / H62.5