@0xBf45Ef…4601

#1,969,39817

0xbf45ef1e4125975434bbec64459cc4c34488fb80

~35d· 57 markets · 224 tradesVol: $5,5092026-08-04 23:27:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (20/46)6.7/20
0.60x (win $484 / loss $811)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0870/15
Sortino -2.1740/10
$-0.2639 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1117 (46 markets)6.9/10
11/26 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 225% of peak ($647 / $288)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#599,049$-22Vol: $1,509
🏛️ POLITICS#60,623$112Vol: $1,303
SPORTS#1,518,083$-29Vol: $1,291
CRYPTO#1,299,820$-25Vol: $587
💻 TECH#223,016$-8Vol: $246
🎭 CULTURE#759,870$-49Vol: $220
🌤️ WEATHER#221,863$-4Vol: $148
📈 ECONOMICS#24,838$27Vol: $116
📢 MENTIONS#137,792$-15Vol: $87

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,509
Total Redeem
$33
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
142B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-15
Vol: $5,509

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
20W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-15
Win Rate
43%
20W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $264 (17.700871898055% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$136
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$90
Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 0 Parma Calcio 1913?$38
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$35
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$34
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?$28
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$21
Predators vs. Utah$18
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos$9

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-601
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$-32
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-22
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$-16
Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C.$-11
Will Apple announce a touchscreen MacBook during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$-10
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.107
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
1359
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.271
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.7%
Top-5 markets
61.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1492s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)43.7%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 6:39:15 PM9 trades$2560 min
5/21/2026, 7:31:05 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/8/2026, 10:38:42 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/23/2026, 12:26:08 AM11 trades$12913 min
5/21/2026, 3:53:18 PM1 trades$1050 min
4/14/2026, 7:57:39 AM2 trades$860 min
4/9/2026, 9:58:05 PM8 trades$836 min
5/4/2026, 5:51:32 AM8 trades$720 min
6/22/2026, 6:17:31 PM2 trades$670 min
6/8/2026, 5:01:45 PM6 trades$677 min
4/15/2026, 6:03:34 PM9 trades$620 min
6/23/2026, 12:47:52 AM2 trades$600 min
4/14/2026, 5:03:28 PM2 trades$590 min
5/4/2026, 6:23:08 AM4 trades$593 min
6/12/2026, 7:51:28 PM2 trades$560 min
5/7/2026, 6:16:22 AM3 trades$450 min
5/21/2026, 12:29:19 PM6 trades$420 min
4/30/2026, 8:58:28 PM2 trades$410 min
6/21/2026, 1:47:34 AM2 trades$400 min
4/17/2026, 9:44:42 AM6 trades$294 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
04-14
04-30
05-09
06-07
06-15
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.9 / M32.4 / H43.7