@outsiderr

#218,65290

0xbf6dc9143d46c2a41973160f96e3a52ed5dcb464

~63d· 168 markets · 343 tradesVol: $62,0052026-08-04 23:35:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (135/165)20/20
2.40x (win $217 / loss $90)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.31915/15
Sortino 29.48610/10
$+0.0025 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 244 (165 markets)10/10
58/63 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($9 / $127)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+119
Consistent
58/63 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#98,830$96Vol: $57,675
🏛️ POLITICS#155,555$13Vol: $3,745
⚽ SPORTS#211,940$26Vol: $453
🎭 CULTURE#168,712$1Vol: $46
📈 ECONOMICS#627,645$-20Vol: $34
💰 FINANCE#561,678$-8Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,005
Total Redeem
$1,800
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
168
total markets
Trades
183B / 160S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$119
Vol: $62,005

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
135W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$119
Win Rate
82%
135W / 30L
Profit Factor
2.4x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50 (0.4161344537815126% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?$21
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$17
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$11
Celtics vs. Pelicans$6
Missouri State vs. Liberty$5
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5
Will Lecce win on 2025-11-02?$5
Raptors vs. Spurs$5
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 27?$3

Top Losers

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?$-10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$-10
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?$-8
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?$-5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-5
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?$-4
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?$-3
Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan$-3
Will Torino win on 2025-11-02?$-3
Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.380
Sortino
0.571
HHI
218
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
16.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
26.4m
between trades
Night Trading
73%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)73% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)80.3%

Sessions

#12
11/2/2025, 11:27:15 AM10 trades$1,6552 min
11/21/2025, 3:55:57 AM21 trades$1,6446 min
11/5/2025, 4:09:19 AM1 trades$1,6240 min
11/13/2025, 10:42:16 AM1 trades$1,6210 min
10/19/2025, 4:30:29 AM6 trades$1,6063 min
10/14/2025, 9:32:35 AM15 trades$1,60611 min
12/2/2025, 7:40:32 AM2 trades$1,5915 min
11/26/2025, 4:17:39 AM29 trades$1,5705 min
10/30/2025, 5:09:09 AM1 trades$1,5660 min
10/24/2025, 4:59:19 PM4 trades$1,5181 min
12/30/2025, 4:52:43 AM2 trades$1,5140 min
11/29/2025, 3:49:15 AM1 trades$1,5130 min
12/26/2025, 8:00:45 AM1 trades$1,5120 min
12/23/2025, 7:58:05 AM1 trades$1,5110 min
12/19/2025, 5:05:53 AM1 trades$1,5090 min
12/14/2025, 8:43:21 AM1 trades$1,4970 min
12/11/2025, 6:13:45 AM1 trades$1,4960 min
12/8/2025, 6:02:01 AM1 trades$1,4940 min
12/5/2025, 7:47:47 AM1 trades$1,4930 min
10/21/2025, 4:52:31 AM4 trades$1,4901 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
11-13
12-23
01-29
02-28
04-27
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M18.6 / H80.3