@arrowbets

#2,763,65929

0xbf72fcfddf79b2bad557096149f1dfccbc472a2c

~29d· 197 markets · 1476 tradesVol: $43,3162026-08-04 18:10:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (72/164)7/20
0.96x (win $3,404 / loss $3,532)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3810/15
Sortino -0.4700/10
$-0.0092 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 250 (164 markets)10/10
16/23 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($1,165 / $995)0/10

Badges

2
Consistent
16/23 profitable days
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,625,325$-64Vol: $22,084
🏛️ POLITICS#1,508,647$-89Vol: $8,021
💰 FINANCE#591,353$-17Vol: $2,187
₿ CRYPTO#180,576$21Vol: $2,101
🌤️ WEATHER#258,675$-18Vol: $2,005
💻 TECH#237,659$-24Vol: $1,765
📈 ECONOMICS#629,214$-21Vol: $1,231
🎭 CULTURE#741,353$-29Vol: $1,107
📢 MENTIONS#132,682$-12Vol: $180

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,316
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
197
total markets
Trades
822B / 654S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $10
Month
$3
Vol: $51
All Time
$-272
Vol: $43,316

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
72W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$-272
Win Rate
44%
72W / 92L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,052 (3.871936409803488% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$431
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$319
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$302
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$237
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$228
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?$176
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?$161
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?$124
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026?$116
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$101

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-710
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-507
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-430
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-195
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$-110
Will Keaton Wagler be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$-94
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$-92
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-91
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$-89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-65

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
360
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
32.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.5m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 81s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)18.4%
High (>55c)69.5%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 2:01:32 PM22 trades$7797 min
6/20/2026, 7:50:55 AM30 trades$7573 min
6/20/2026, 5:52:16 AM11 trades$6183 min
6/18/2026, 7:55:11 PM40 trades$52112 min
6/20/2026, 2:02:01 PM15 trades$5202 min
6/20/2026, 6:14:49 AM13 trades$5041 min
6/22/2026, 7:05:56 PM35 trades$48714 min
6/30/2026, 9:03:41 PM5 trades$4830 min
6/19/2026, 4:48:08 PM4 trades$4812 min
6/20/2026, 11:21:13 AM16 trades$4555 min
6/19/2026, 6:32:08 PM6 trades$4230 min
6/20/2026, 10:11:38 AM8 trades$4013 min
6/20/2026, 8:16:53 AM12 trades$3670 min
6/22/2026, 1:12:23 PM3 trades$3600 min
6/19/2026, 6:06:55 PM11 trades$35614 min
6/30/2026, 10:53:29 PM3 trades$3200 min
6/22/2026, 10:53:44 AM15 trades$3186 min
6/19/2026, 6:37:31 AM14 trades$3002 min
6/22/2026, 10:18:17 AM9 trades$2982 min
6/19/2026, 2:36:31 PM17 trades$28416 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-19
06-23
06-26
07-01
07-07
07-10
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M18.4 / H69.5