@212octopus
#213,721270xbf8e91d1d59655587f2058b304dde91afd822f94
~180d· 934 markets · 5056 tradesVol: $704,1722026-08-04 21:05:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (521/932)13/20
0.74x (win $7,657 / loss $10,411)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0490/15
Sortino -2.4760/10
$-0.0620 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 88 (932 markets)10/10
80/168 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 22998% of peak ($3,838 / $17)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+125
DCA Master
Avg 5.4 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🎭 CULTURE#10,629$312Vol: $694,796
₿ CRYPTO#1,463,012$-97Vol: $8,645
⚽ SPORTS#1,635,243$-70Vol: $622
📢 MENTIONS#138,482$-16Vol: $58
🏛️ POLITICS#967,532$-2Vol: $38
💰 FINANCE#503,010$-2Vol: $7
🌤️ WEATHER#170,633$-0Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$125
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$704,172
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
934
total markets
Trades
2346B / 2710S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~180d
Periods
#2Today
$-38
Vol: $5,503
Week
$-14
Vol: $9,346
Month
$-35
Vol: $10,649
All Time
$125
Vol: $704,172
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
521W / 406L events
Realized PnL
$125
Win Rate
56%
521W / 406L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-27
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,633 (21.075408261287222% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1,031
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$948
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$655
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$267
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$230
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$209
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$205
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$198
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$174
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$136
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$-791
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$-509
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?$-396
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?$-384
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-383
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-306
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-258
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$-239
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-202
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-193
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.107
Sortino
-0.103
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
15.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 416s — normal for humanCV 4.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active3.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)64.6%
Sessions
#124/24/2026, 3:29:52 PM79 trades$3,36527 min
5/1/2026, 3:53:44 PM4 trades$2,2894 min
7/7/2026, 3:47:56 PM40 trades$2,1152 min
5/5/2026, 4:31:50 PM2 trades$1,9980 min
5/12/2026, 3:55:36 PM2 trades$1,3154 min
5/12/2026, 5:23:34 PM6 trades$1,3050 min
5/8/2026, 3:34:15 PM1 trades$1,2890 min
5/15/2026, 3:39:44 PM1 trades$1,1990 min
4/28/2026, 3:45:44 PM1 trades$1,1730 min
5/15/2026, 3:12:20 PM4 trades$1,1150 min
4/10/2026, 3:25:39 PM2 trades$1,0891 min
3/4/2026, 5:00:33 PM11 trades$1,0328 min
3/31/2026, 3:54:55 PM2 trades$1,0180 min
5/8/2026, 6:54:48 AM3 trades$1,0150 min
6/30/2026, 4:03:47 PM2 trades$9990 min
7/17/2026, 4:03:19 PM2 trades$9990 min
4/3/2026, 4:08:45 PM21 trades$9986 min
6/12/2026, 3:56:46 PM11 trades$99514 min
4/3/2026, 3:57:31 PM4 trades$9870 min
4/28/2026, 7:01:16 AM17 trades$9434 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
02-01
03-03
04-01
05-09
06-26
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.7 / M9.7 / H64.6