@Utnapishtim

#399,97437

0xbf9485c1c798c1e993844b9e28ad43aac26037bf

~64d· 58 markets · 330 tradesVol: $6222026-08-05 16:39:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (23/31)20/20
0.76x (win $61 / loss $81)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9300/15
Sortino -0.9880/10
$-0.0412 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1147 (31 markets)6.8/10
19/24 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 377% of peak ($76 / $20)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+23
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market
Consistent
19/24 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#154,494$13Vol: $393
📈 ECONOMICS#60,909$5Vol: $120
🎭 CULTURE#200,790$0Vol: $28
💰 FINANCE#137,288$1Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$622
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
173B / 157S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $7
Week
$1
Vol: $43
Month
$-0
Vol: $55
All Time
$23
Vol: $622

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
23W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$23
Win Rate
74%
23W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-81

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35 (1.515893470790378% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$26
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?$5
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$2
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$2
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$2
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$1

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-81

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-802.500
HHI
1023
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
63.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2160s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.16
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)97.7%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 8:59:06 AM8 trades$7610 min
4/26/2026, 3:33:52 PM6 trades$354 min
6/2/2026, 3:16:48 PM2 trades$240 min
5/12/2026, 9:35:29 PM4 trades$243 min
4/24/2026, 1:38:06 PM4 trades$201 min
7/26/2026, 7:45:48 AM6 trades$173 min
7/1/2026, 9:22:16 AM4 trades$161 min
6/22/2026, 9:24:28 PM9 trades$164 min
6/16/2026, 9:11:13 AM4 trades$150 min
6/11/2026, 7:37:09 PM4 trades$142 min
8/4/2026, 3:55:15 PM4 trades$131 min
7/22/2026, 1:40:31 PM2 trades$130 min
6/15/2026, 10:36:15 AM4 trades$120 min
5/9/2026, 6:29:35 PM4 trades$93 min
7/13/2026, 2:48:23 PM2 trades$90 min
6/22/2026, 2:39:11 PM2 trades$90 min
7/19/2026, 9:51:00 PM4 trades$80 min
5/21/2026, 12:12:10 PM4 trades$81 min
7/1/2026, 7:21:32 AM2 trades$80 min
7/8/2026, 9:55:44 PM2 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-21
06-10
06-17
06-28
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M2.3 / H97.7