rawmilkgambler

@rawmilkgambler

#386,87582

0xbf9db6158a74d540327754c9a91adc01c90a0dcc

~23d· 60 markets · 185 tradesVol: $13,2192026-08-05 16:37:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (55/58)20/20
99.00x (win $182 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 16.97815/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0350 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 470 (58 markets)10/10
19/20 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $182)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+26
Consistent
19/20 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
31 wins in a row

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#286,937$-117Vol: $7,843
💰 FINANCE#24,912$55Vol: $1,408
🏛️ POLITICS#1,145,619$-5Vol: $1,084
💻 TECH#13,579$19Vol: $578
CRYPTO#195,020$17Vol: $348
SPORTS#350,141$4Vol: $301
🎭 CULTURE#108,691$3Vol: $259
📈 ECONOMICS#104,090$1Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#30,815$3Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,219
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
149B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
55W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$26
Win Rate
95%
55W / 3L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $70 (2.6558689024390243% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?$25
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $24
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$21
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Vitality (BO3)$19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)$14
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?$12
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons (BO3)$8
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6
Will Astralis win IEM Atlanta 2026?$5
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.866
Sortino
inf
HHI
409
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
32.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 344s — normal for humanCV 1.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)0.7%
High (>55c)87.9%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 7:15:30 PM8 trades$3,8891 min
5/12/2026, 6:47:34 PM5 trades$1,1985 min
5/9/2026, 3:16:33 PM2 trades$1,0280 min
5/8/2026, 11:15:07 AM14 trades$7295 min
6/24/2026, 3:40:34 PM2 trades$4000 min
5/8/2026, 12:05:24 PM8 trades$3897 min
5/8/2026, 11:25:31 AM11 trades$3659 min
7/2/2026, 1:42:50 PM9 trades$2814 min
11/4/2025, 10:20:37 PM3 trades$2786 min
7/8/2026, 11:40:19 AM12 trades$2163 min
6/8/2026, 11:58:03 AM4 trades$2122 min
11/8/2025, 1:26:51 PM1 trades$1940 min
11/8/2025, 12:43:51 PM1 trades$1870 min
12/8/2025, 8:30:35 PM5 trades$1642 min
11/5/2025, 3:34:09 PM2 trades$1411 min
11/23/2025, 4:07:19 PM5 trades$1094 min
11/21/2025, 11:08:27 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/7/2025, 11:16:01 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/22/2025, 1:51:03 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/21/2025, 12:19:15 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-08
11-22
12-07
12-12
05-12
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.4 / M0.7 / H87.9