@kknotgambling

#355,46521

0xbfbaf29e2b6abd3fedf13f0efcf3e9ae31d58983

~18d· 40 markets · 137 tradesVol: $24,3522026-08-04 18:57:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (20/36)12.8/20
0.58x (win $669 / loss $1,163)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2680/15
Sortino -4.3310/10
$-0.1781 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6436 (36 markets)0/10
11/17 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 683% of peak ($791 / $116)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+35
Consistent
11/17 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#55,323$132Vol: $12,364
CRYPTO#82,894$121Vol: $7,779
SPORTS#1,565,334$-41Vol: $2,802
💰 FINANCE#642,517$-206Vol: $676
📈 ECONOMICS#467,698$-1Vol: $384
🎭 CULTURE#58,348$14Vol: $212
🌤️ WEATHER#24,709$8Vol: $98
💻 TECH#20,012$8Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$35
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,352
Total Redeem
$6,178
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
55B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$11
Vol: $25
Month
$13
Vol: $25
All Time
$35
Vol: $24,352

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
20W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$35
Win Rate
56%
20W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-78

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $278 (7.959575688073394% of PnL)

Top Winners

Celtics vs. 76ers$124
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$79
Celtics vs. 76ers$74
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-06?$68
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics $44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$38
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$29
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$26

Top Losers

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-400
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$-314
76ers vs. Celtics$-200
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-40
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?$-40
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-40
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5$-24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$-23
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$-20
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.217
Sortino
-0.175
HHI
861
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.159
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
56.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1232s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)69.1%

Sessions

#12
4/22/2026, 10:55:48 PM4 trades$9,5000 min
4/26/2026, 10:20:08 AM4 trades$4704 min
4/22/2026, 5:36:02 AM6 trades$4001 min
4/24/2026, 4:06:24 AM2 trades$3360 min
5/7/2026, 4:05:09 AM4 trades$2580 min
4/26/2026, 10:31:38 AM6 trades$2314 min
4/25/2026, 2:54:12 AM2 trades$2040 min
5/3/2026, 12:52:54 AM6 trades$1921 min
4/22/2026, 6:40:32 AM4 trades$1760 min
4/24/2026, 9:17:02 AM4 trades$1750 min
6/18/2026, 7:11:41 PM4 trades$1670 min
5/6/2026, 8:26:38 AM6 trades$1261 min
4/28/2026, 6:44:32 AM3 trades$1200 min
4/6/2026, 5:30:25 AM2 trades$1040 min
7/22/2026, 3:57:13 PM14 trades$964 min
4/25/2026, 10:22:06 AM3 trades$910 min
7/22/2026, 4:08:55 PM5 trades$880 min
4/6/2026, 5:42:19 AM4 trades$770 min
5/7/2026, 3:27:03 AM3 trades$620 min
4/20/2026, 12:25:52 AM2 trades$620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
04-21
04-24
04-26
05-03
05-07
06-18
07-25
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
5.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.7 / M18.2 / H69.1