ravie

@ravie

#149,22475

0xc0b646c3d97e2e86a1bceaa880ad2f628eb33a92

~113d· 350 markets · 3406 tradesVol: $281,808 @RavieWeb32026-08-05 00:44:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (124/340)3.2/20
1.80x (win $38,341 / loss $21,259)12.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.21615/15
Sortino 11.61810/10
$+0.2966 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 101 (340 markets)10/10
47/101 profitable days (47%)4.1/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($3,002 / $17,206)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+285
Whale
$57,591 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#29,192$438Vol: $118,335
SPORTS#1,759,328$-263Vol: $87,764
🎭 CULTURE#746,691$-33Vol: $23,961
CRYPTO#1,412,635$-60Vol: $21,538
💻 TECH#253,448$-214Vol: $10,030
📈 ECONOMICS#20,781$38Vol: $7,536
💰 FINANCE#12,980$184Vol: $5,527
📢 MENTIONS#3,415$267Vol: $4,297

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$285
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$281,808
Total Redeem
$416
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
350
total markets
Trades
1402B / 2004S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $100
Week
$-10
Vol: $375
Month
$-31
Vol: $1,330
All Time
$285
Vol: $281,808

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
124W / 214L events
Realized PnL
$285
Win Rate
37%
124W / 214L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$309
Avg Loss
$-105

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,462 (43.72415002982352% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$8,369
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,429
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,664
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1,658
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$1,313
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$1,052
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5$1,050
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$861
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$791
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$747

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-1,209
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-766
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-672
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-658
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-599
Knicks vs. Spurs$-546
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-451
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-439
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-399
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-393

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.168
Sortino
0.533
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.261
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 802s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency2.9 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.13
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.8%
Mid (20-55c)30.5%
High (>55c)51.8%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 7:08:39 AM30 trades$3,6384 min
6/18/2026, 11:27:07 PM6 trades$2,3003 min
6/1/2026, 10:36:09 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/14/2026, 11:41:25 PM6 trades$1,9123 min
6/13/2026, 3:41:48 AM110 trades$1,27311 min
6/15/2026, 3:26:52 AM2 trades$1,2000 min
6/12/2026, 12:11:39 AM14 trades$1,1979 min
6/15/2026, 2:24:19 AM20 trades$1,0275 min
5/11/2026, 7:22:31 PM7 trades$1,0261 min
4/26/2026, 2:45:10 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/18/2026, 11:53:55 PM2 trades$9900 min
7/6/2026, 10:25:08 PM3 trades$9322 min
5/11/2026, 6:15:59 AM21 trades$9175 min
6/12/2026, 6:19:04 AM33 trades$9053 min
6/15/2026, 2:11:42 AM3 trades$8620 min
6/15/2026, 3:42:34 AM2 trades$8400 min
6/13/2026, 3:21:21 AM64 trades$83411 min
5/23/2026, 2:11:33 PM5 trades$7561 min
5/25/2026, 9:56:10 PM8 trades$7472 min
5/23/2026, 7:25:15 AM2 trades$7360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-25
05-14
05-31
06-17
07-03
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.8 / M30.5 / H51.8