@narsil

#2,459,03156

0xc0ea1cc64522f2484a029ba46851a687d5d9bcaa

~63d· 90 markets · 273 tradesVol: $2,7432026-08-04 20:21:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (27/85)0.9/20
1.35x (win $149 / loss $110)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.21715/15
Sortino 4.79610/10
$+0.1403 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 474 (85 markets)10/10
21/50 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($26 / $50)3.5/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
63% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,569,963$-43Vol: $2,375
CRYPTO#865,954$-1Vol: $100
🏛️ POLITICS#1,061,001$-3Vol: $45

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-73
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,743
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
152B / 121S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
27W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-73
Win Rate
32%
27W / 58L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $63 (0.8651406508549366% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$22
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$11
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?$8
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$7
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$7
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$6
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$6
Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$5

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-9
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-7
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$-5
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$-4
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$-4
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$-4
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-4
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$-4
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.115
Sortino
0.282
HHI
686
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
47.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3768s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)42.1%
High (>55c)36.8%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 12:39:45 PM7 trades$840 min
7/3/2026, 4:17:47 PM4 trades$340 min
5/21/2026, 1:05:20 PM9 trades$321 min
6/26/2026, 5:56:10 AM2 trades$300 min
7/22/2026, 3:15:07 PM7 trades$210 min
3/13/2026, 8:18:53 AM5 trades$205 min
7/11/2026, 9:42:17 AM2 trades$190 min
6/4/2026, 5:15:18 PM6 trades$181 min
6/7/2026, 5:48:52 PM4 trades$130 min
6/22/2026, 3:11:04 PM2 trades$130 min
5/17/2026, 7:36:51 PM4 trades$120 min
5/29/2026, 5:38:16 AM4 trades$121 min
6/14/2026, 8:03:42 AM2 trades$110 min
7/14/2026, 8:20:05 PM2 trades$110 min
6/20/2026, 9:53:44 PM4 trades$113 min
6/28/2026, 7:36:44 PM2 trades$100 min
7/9/2026, 8:38:11 AM5 trades$101 min
7/12/2026, 2:53:29 PM2 trades$90 min
7/25/2026, 3:03:37 PM2 trades$80 min
7/5/2026, 9:05:19 AM2 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
04-29
05-24
06-15
06-25
07-11
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.52/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.1 / M42.1 / H36.8