Speaker-NancyPelosi

@Speaker-NancyPelosi

#55,93321

0xc109ae1aebb28caced2c94044f177912f7ff450b

~144d· 600 markets · 11811 tradesVol: $149,4052026-08-06 16:42:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (187/451)5.7/20
0.84x (win $9,751 / loss $11,596)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8360/15
Sortino -0.8880/10
$-0.0417 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 126 (451 markets)10/10
60/118 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 462% of peak ($3,941 / $854)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,828
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#29,766$424Vol: $103,409
🌤️ WEATHER#1,657$985Vol: $34,113
💰 FINANCE#15,340$137Vol: $3,651
SPORTS#102,667$142Vol: $2,539
📈 ECONOMICS#17,887$52Vol: $1,460
🎭 CULTURE#31,671$47Vol: $750
CRYPTO#257,940$8Vol: $551
📢 MENTIONS#156,963$-50Vol: $462

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,828
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$149,405
Total Redeem
$178
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
600
total markets
Trades
8631B / 3180S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~144d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $865
Week
$153
Vol: $4,165
Month
$139
Vol: $4,473
All Time
$1,828
Vol: $149,405

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
187W / 264L events
Realized PnL
$1,828
Win Rate
41%
187W / 264L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-45

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,857 (1.0155296151237336% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$848
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?$662
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$347
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$317
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$261
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$258
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$199
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$192
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$191
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$184

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,474
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-788
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-391
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-313
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?$-225
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?$-209
Will Hong Kong have between 150-160mm of precipitation in April?$-190
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-178
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-169
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-134

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
15.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
82.0
Very active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.6m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 357s — normal for humanCV 2.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock82 trades/day — mass trading4.2 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.3%
Mid (20-55c)32.2%
High (>55c)45.4%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 6:05:59 AM6 trades$1,5243 min
4/1/2026, 12:44:37 PM20 trades$1,3709 min
3/28/2026, 7:22:45 AM26 trades$9832 min
7/9/2026, 1:36:40 AM3 trades$9220 min
6/4/2026, 8:09:30 AM4 trades$7500 min
7/3/2026, 7:35:37 PM30 trades$6837 min
3/30/2026, 7:26:16 AM9 trades$6751 min
6/14/2026, 8:59:37 PM141 trades$66665 min
5/8/2026, 6:26:09 PM58 trades$61217 min
6/7/2026, 6:32:06 PM104 trades$50857 min
4/1/2026, 5:53:21 AM45 trades$5057 min
4/24/2026, 1:35:18 PM3 trades$4144 min
4/7/2026, 10:26:25 PM63 trades$37336 min
7/29/2026, 10:19:54 PM3 trades$3704 min
7/6/2026, 7:12:11 AM7 trades$3651 min
5/5/2026, 1:54:30 PM2 trades$3590 min
7/31/2026, 2:57:35 AM9 trades$3582 min
6/14/2026, 10:12:28 AM84 trades$3568 min
3/28/2026, 8:55:33 AM1 trades$3390 min
6/11/2026, 7:34:34 PM57 trades$33053 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
04-09
05-04
05-25
06-15
07-06
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.3 / M32.2 / H45.4