@Notarealtrader
#146,729930xc13341349bfb3adcc9a122bce5b88664bbd3352a
~62d· 86 markets · 497 tradesVol: $12,8022026-08-04 20:06:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
88% (63/72)20/20
5.40x (win $804 / loss $149)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.34015/15
Sortino 17.58910/10
$+0.0572 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 293 (72 markets)10/10
37/44 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($100 / $655)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+296
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Consistent
37/44 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#41,792$225Vol: $6,885
⚽ SPORTS#156,181$57Vol: $4,479
📈 ECONOMICS#516,936$-2Vol: $913
🎭 CULTURE#68,193$10Vol: $349
💰 FINANCE#72,442$5Vol: $175
Overview
#1Net PnL
$296
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,802
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
205B / 292S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $431
Week
$51
Vol: $649
Month
$66
Vol: $649
All Time
$296
Vol: $12,802
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
87%
62W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$296
Win Rate
87%
62W / 9L
Profit Factor
5.4x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-37
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $135 (0.45552961872864445% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$54
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$36
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$33
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$23
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$21
Top Losers
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-49
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.587
Sortino
0.343
HHI
474
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.048
Kelly %
29.9%
Half-Kelly
15.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
37.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 0.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)96.1%
Sessions
#127/23/2026, 4:03:43 AM21 trades$1,0002 min
8/4/2026, 3:05:26 AM9 trades$6142 min
5/11/2026, 4:27:17 AM4 trades$5650 min
7/28/2026, 2:29:10 AM12 trades$5633 min
6/27/2026, 4:11:04 AM9 trades$4703 min
7/3/2026, 3:51:56 AM11 trades$4062 min
6/23/2026, 2:27:43 AM4 trades$3533 min
7/12/2026, 3:44:28 AM3 trades$3410 min
7/1/2026, 2:35:59 PM14 trades$3215 min
6/23/2026, 7:56:01 AM13 trades$3058 min
6/4/2026, 2:47:09 AM11 trades$2933 min
5/14/2026, 4:15:10 AM2 trades$2920 min
5/20/2026, 3:20:23 PM4 trades$2635 min
5/2/2026, 6:10:18 PM2 trades$2600 min
6/18/2026, 8:16:44 PM9 trades$2553 min
7/23/2026, 2:38:03 AM7 trades$2511 min
8/3/2026, 9:48:36 AM6 trades$2371 min
7/15/2026, 5:04:49 AM4 trades$2280 min
5/9/2026, 2:11:18 AM6 trades$2164 min
7/12/2026, 2:51:41 AM2 trades$2090 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
05-03
05-18
06-09
06-23
07-03
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M0 / H96.1