@earthStones

#2,994,7557

0xc15cad59b14079fb7a553c483ac5262c15746549

~68d· 93 markets · 938 tradesVol: $215,6772026-08-04 20:57:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (27/72)3.8/20
0.25x (win $1,000 / loss $4,063)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5480/15
Sortino -4.4870/10
$-0.3246 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2682 (72 markets)0/10
14/33 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 1518% of peak ($3,278 / $216)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,914$-1,338Vol: $162,401
⚽ SPORTS#1,784,973$-407Vol: $42,191
🌤️ WEATHER#290,096$-178Vol: $8,852
🎭 CULTURE#758,672$-47Vol: $1,526
💰 FINANCE#574,815$-10Vol: $521
₿ CRYPTO#1,169,849$-11Vol: $187

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,992
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$215,677
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
314B / 624S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$211
Vol: $429
Week
$132
Vol: $1,876
Month
$17
Vol: $4,944
All Time
$-1,992
Vol: $215,677

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
27W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-1,992
Win Rate
38%
27W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-97

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $479 (0.24036525921054613% of PnL)

Top Winners

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$257
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 25?$138
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 24?$84
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$66
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 22?$52
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 23?$41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 30?$39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?$26

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,127
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-632
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 1?$-291
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-159
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 1?$-143
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on April 1?$-100
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$-64
Macron out by June 30, 2026?$-50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 22?$-42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.184
HHI
6504
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.270
Kelly %
10.7%
Half-Kelly
5.3%
Top-1 market
80.1%
Top-5 markets
95.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 282s — normal for humanCV 3.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.07
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)15.9%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 2:50:07 AM18 trades$22,7832 min
5/29/2026, 12:22:22 AM34 trades$16,2919 min
5/31/2026, 3:25:27 PM48 trades$6,0543 min
6/3/2026, 2:31:53 AM15 trades$4,0995 min
5/31/2026, 9:38:45 PM14 trades$3,5780 min
5/31/2026, 10:04:11 PM21 trades$2,9022 min
4/23/2026, 10:39:48 PM30 trades$1,9901 min
6/1/2026, 7:57:02 AM38 trades$1,8314 min
5/23/2026, 4:36:06 PM30 trades$1,49411 min
5/21/2026, 4:39:21 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/31/2026, 10:12:16 PM17 trades$8240 min
5/25/2026, 5:35:21 AM9 trades$8062 min
6/11/2026, 4:36:55 AM40 trades$7976 min
6/2/2026, 1:10:35 AM22 trades$7795 min
8/1/2026, 8:23:53 PM9 trades$7120 min
5/25/2026, 5:26:59 AM9 trades$6851 min
6/2/2026, 7:29:20 AM30 trades$6685 min
5/21/2026, 4:52:58 AM13 trades$6323 min
5/29/2026, 12:01:51 AM21 trades$5616 min
5/21/2026, 11:29:18 PM36 trades$5467 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-09
11-19
11-24
03-10
04-07
05-25
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 207 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
42% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.07/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.9 / M25.2 / H15.9