@effing

#2,768,99310

0xc161460a49bde9576c16962a92129b5364387f9a

~17d· 43 markets · 228 tradesVol: $4,5462026-08-04 22:11:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (13/34)4.1/20
0.06x (win $20 / loss $324)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -19.3560/15
Sortino -13.5970/10
$-0.2124 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1271 (34 markets)6.1/10
0/7 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($304 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,688,722$-109Vol: $1,114
🎭 CULTURE#790,656$-155Vol: $1,014
💰 FINANCE#386,845$-0Vol: $927
🌤️ WEATHER#231,574$-6Vol: $748
🏛️ POLITICS#1,257,894$-9Vol: $503
CRYPTO#944,140$-2Vol: $201
📈 ECONOMICS#177,417$0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-281
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,546
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
145B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-281
Vol: $4,546

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
13W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-281
Win Rate
38%
13W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (0.05257155077164344% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$8
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Resolution" 3+ times on New Year's Rockin' Eve?$5
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$2
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$2
Will The Midnight Walk win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?$1
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 9, 2026?$1
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$0
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 9, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?$-132
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$-51
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$-49
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?$-22
Will Ryan Seacrest say "Confetti" on New Year's Rockin' Eve?$-18
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$-10
Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?$-9
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$-7
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 9, 2026?$-5
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 9, 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.938
Sortino
-0.938
HHI
783
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.237
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.7%
Top-5 markets
53.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.8m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 468s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.9%
Mid (20-55c)34.5%
High (>55c)27.6%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 9:32:01 AM18 trades$3323 min
7/18/2026, 2:43:00 PM4 trades$2430 min
1/2/2026, 11:17:49 AM9 trades$1837 min
1/2/2026, 12:40:21 PM5 trades$1218 min
1/2/2026, 7:54:59 AM2 trades$1171 min
1/3/2026, 11:59:11 AM14 trades$10214 min
1/3/2026, 3:11:09 PM1 trades$870 min
1/3/2026, 3:51:31 PM2 trades$840 min
1/2/2026, 1:49:59 PM2 trades$823 min
1/4/2026, 12:35:27 PM1 trades$690 min
1/3/2026, 12:57:11 AM18 trades$609 min
2/1/2026, 6:37:20 AM1 trades$510 min
1/3/2026, 3:36:05 AM9 trades$478 min
1/3/2026, 5:48:55 AM1 trades$470 min
1/3/2026, 5:16:25 PM1 trades$410 min
1/2/2026, 7:13:45 AM5 trades$409 min
1/2/2026, 9:26:45 AM3 trades$297 min
1/2/2026, 1:08:31 PM2 trades$221 min
1/3/2026, 1:16:57 AM2 trades$213 min
1/2/2026, 3:05:05 AM2 trades$212 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-02
01-03
01-04
02-01
02-23
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.94/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.9 / M34.5 / H27.6