@bellotas500

#113,10754

0xc1797afae01388da7d2271918d92282cfcb05cde

~45d· 195 markets · 1315 tradesVol: $47,488 @alex_pereiradj2026-08-04 19:57:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (87/195)7.3/20
1.13x (win $3,032 / loss $2,682)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.73015/15
Sortino 5.90810/10
$+0.0685 per $1 invested3.4/10
HHI 185 (195 markets)10/10
18/44 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($256 / $406)1.4/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+527
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#2,227$617Vol: $44,249
CRYPTO#1,406,487$-57Vol: $3,120
SPORTS#1,537,072$-33Vol: $100
🎭 CULTURE#412,996$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$527
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,488
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
499B / 816S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-37
Vol: $699
Week
$47
Vol: $3,238
Month
$174
Vol: $5,131
All Time
$527
Vol: $47,488

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
87W / 108L events
Realized PnL
$527
Win Rate
45%
87W / 108L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $982 (1.8635794030530874% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?$588
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?$207
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?$187
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?$177
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 10?$154
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?$123
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 17?$106
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?$105
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?$100
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 11?$93

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?$-293
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?$-157
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?$-117
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?$-91
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 14?$-84
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 21?$-83
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$-70
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 15?$-68
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?$-65
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 20?$-63

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.141
Sortino
0.338
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.069
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 460s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency3.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.1%
High (>55c)54.1%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 3:01:35 PM9 trades$9610 min
6/3/2026, 8:32:51 PM5 trades$4640 min
6/19/2026, 10:47:34 AM3 trades$3320 min
6/18/2026, 10:38:40 PM8 trades$3211 min
6/10/2026, 6:18:34 PM13 trades$26512 min
6/18/2026, 11:08:13 PM10 trades$2631 min
6/19/2026, 10:23:01 PM8 trades$2530 min
6/18/2026, 12:42:34 PM2 trades$2490 min
6/20/2026, 9:02:20 AM8 trades$2341 min
7/10/2026, 1:40:56 PM3 trades$2210 min
6/19/2026, 5:52:55 AM10 trades$2164 min
6/16/2026, 11:14:58 PM16 trades$2157 min
6/10/2026, 6:44:24 PM11 trades$21410 min
6/17/2026, 8:37:26 AM14 trades$2080 min
6/17/2026, 10:26:08 PM13 trades$1702 min
6/17/2026, 2:16:59 PM22 trades$16712 min
7/11/2026, 1:47:02 PM2 trades$1530 min
7/10/2026, 11:08:50 PM9 trades$1510 min
6/19/2026, 9:55:29 PM6 trades$1430 min
6/15/2026, 10:39:15 AM2 trades$1430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-10
06-17
06-26
07-05
07-16
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.8 / M29.1 / H54.1