Zarshka

@Zarshka

#17,04535

0xc1cf7d0ccb729703a5f4d97ed1045a42dbd99656

~519d· 1744 markets · 12242 tradesVol: $2,225,268 @Vincentnls2026-08-04 14:06:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (1021/1648)16/20
0.91x (win $84,021 / loss $91,851)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4200/15
Sortino -0.4820/10
$-0.0078 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 70 (1648 markets)10/10
222/372 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 256% of peak ($21,460 / $8,383)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+10,083
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,005,241 invested
High Roller
$1,277/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,368
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,225,268
Total Redeem
$3,024
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1744
total markets
Trades
8984B / 3258S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~519d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
1021W / 627L events
Realized PnL
$10,083
Win Rate
62%
1021W / 627L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$82
Avg Loss
$-151

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,237 (1.2136428416289053% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5,924
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$4,157
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$2,156
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,938
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$1,800
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,709
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,424
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,190
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1,094
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$930

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$-11,004
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-3,600
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-3,426
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$-3,020
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$-2,073
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$-1,987
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$-1,771
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$-1,458
Will Biden finish his term?$-1,310
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?$-1,188

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.017
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.6
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 292s — normal for humanCV 4.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)21.7%
High (>55c)54%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 1:29:11 AM7 trades$28,3210 min
1/30/2026, 12:02:50 PM2 trades$27,9580 min
4/28/2026, 2:22:20 PM109 trades$26,16049 min
8/13/2024, 7:58:53 AM2 trades$19,9801 min
7/23/2024, 2:01:11 AM3 trades$14,9251 min
1/30/2026, 11:50:32 AM4 trades$14,3556 min
4/22/2026, 11:02:30 AM1 trades$12,7970 min
1/1/2026, 7:50:21 AM12 trades$11,99521 min
4/17/2026, 7:00:36 AM19 trades$10,9191 min
7/22/2024, 2:16:09 AM3 trades$10,1334 min
10/27/2025, 7:57:39 AM1 trades$9,9900 min
11/23/2025, 10:44:47 PM7 trades$9,9905 min
6/11/2024, 9:35:19 AM1 trades$9,9890 min
7/22/2024, 9:24:15 PM1 trades$9,9370 min
7/21/2024, 6:23:29 PM6 trades$8,3403 min
11/18/2025, 7:12:01 AM3 trades$8,2833 min
8/7/2024, 1:28:50 PM4 trades$7,2453 min
11/6/2024, 1:17:15 AM21 trades$7,18420 min
7/23/2024, 10:09:01 AM1 trades$7,0160 min
8/7/2024, 1:47:26 PM4 trades$7,0113 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
09-09
12-25
10-04
12-25
03-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 422 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.3 / M21.7 / H54