israeI

@israeI

#2,983,85567

0xc1f4892bfa4487c99d8051205ee8be78bf39dd7c

~75d· 111 markets · 537 tradesVol: $90,9672026-08-04 17:17:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (54/93)14/20
1.23x (win $11,219 / loss $9,116)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.93115/15
Sortino 2.81610/10
$+0.0889 per $1 invested4.4/10
HHI 177 (93 markets)10/10
31/54 profitable days (57%)6.9/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($2,129 / $3,374)1.4/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,851,796$-1,881Vol: $58,712
🏛️ POLITICS#142,063$17Vol: $22,568
💰 FINANCE#638,002$-142Vol: $4,379
📈 ECONOMICS#9,158$170Vol: $2,442
CRYPTO#1,493,468$-120Vol: $1,716
🎭 CULTURE#13,941$200Vol: $1,150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,757
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,967
Total Redeem
$1,565
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
111
total markets
Trades
327B / 210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$30
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-96
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,757
Vol: $90,967

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
54W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-1,757
Win Rate
58%
54W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$208
Avg Loss
$-253

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,069 (1.1773100493334014% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$850
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$701
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score$518
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$425
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$403
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$400
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderi$316
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot$315
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?$314
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini$311

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-1,386
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-842
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: Páfos FC O/U 0.5$-579
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-553
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-541
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-513
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?$-291
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5$-283
Uruguay vs. Spain: Uruguay O/U 0.5$-243
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$-235

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.132
HHI
114
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.115
Kelly %
3.0%
Half-Kelly
1.5%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1872s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)67.9%
High (>55c)30.9%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 12:32:10 AM19 trades$1,7581 min
7/6/2026, 10:37:37 AM13 trades$1,0740 min
7/3/2026, 9:49:58 AM4 trades$1,0740 min
7/23/2026, 1:39:00 PM2 trades$9160 min
7/28/2026, 12:35:42 AM4 trades$8770 min
7/5/2026, 2:31:07 PM2 trades$7650 min
7/29/2026, 12:32:06 PM6 trades$7341 min
6/1/2026, 3:06:22 PM7 trades$6801 min
6/17/2026, 12:37:10 PM5 trades$6503 min
7/22/2026, 2:08:54 AM4 trades$6030 min
7/8/2026, 12:05:34 PM2 trades$5550 min
7/11/2026, 1:31:44 PM2 trades$5500 min
7/23/2026, 3:50:18 PM8 trades$5322 min
7/28/2026, 1:21:01 PM19 trades$5290 min
3/20/2026, 5:23:13 PM2 trades$4752 min
6/16/2026, 10:32:07 AM5 trades$4480 min
7/3/2026, 12:05:47 PM4 trades$4370 min
6/27/2026, 3:37:19 PM8 trades$4334 min
6/15/2026, 1:33:45 PM6 trades$4250 min
7/6/2026, 10:29:53 AM7 trades$4160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
05-05
06-01
06-14
06-26
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L1.2 / M67.9 / H30.9