Opdam

@Opdam

#81,32782

0xc2a9ee49c40a2d1f03c393786046959b3145c544

~92d· 92 markets · 411 tradesVol: $120,2082026-08-05 16:36:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (81/86)20/20
6.69x (win $1,280 / loss $191)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.73115/15
Sortino 15.19410/10
$+0.0305 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 3143 (86 markets)0/10
61/64 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($171 / $1,089)10/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+1,004
Consistent
61/64 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#64,411$100Vol: $98,404
CRYPTO#34,629$784Vol: $15,934
SPORTS#135,305$80Vol: $4,102
💰 FINANCE#43,094$17Vol: $1,040
📈 ECONOMICS#53,730$6Vol: $547
💻 TECH#28,620$3Vol: $146

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,004
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,208
Total Redeem
$186
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
218B / 193S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$11
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,004
Vol: $120,208

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
81W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$1,004
Win Rate
94%
81W / 5L
Profit Factor
6.69x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-38

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $685 (0.6816032335460491% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in October?$291
Bitcoin above $65,000 on October 4?$259
Ethereum all time high before 2026?$135
Will Solana reach $160 in October? $99
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$71
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$70
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$31
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$23
Will Solana dip to $120 in October?$20
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$18

Top Losers

Will $BTC reach 70k before October?$-176
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 in September?$-7
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?$-4
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.298
Sortino
0.178
HHI
2421
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.9%
Top-5 markets
77.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.77
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)43.1%
High (>55c)55.5%

Sessions

#12
9/27/2024, 3:06:47 PM6 trades$5,9273 min
10/5/2024, 4:15:12 AM6 trades$3,0732 min
10/5/2024, 2:52:04 AM1 trades$3,0670 min
9/27/2024, 2:15:51 PM4 trades$2,9582 min
9/27/2024, 2:56:31 PM8 trades$2,9584 min
9/27/2024, 11:53:35 AM28 trades$2,9524 min
9/27/2024, 1:03:13 PM2 trades$2,9521 min
9/27/2024, 7:14:58 AM5 trades$2,9461 min
9/27/2024, 7:44:18 AM11 trades$2,9463 min
9/27/2024, 9:31:41 AM12 trades$2,9465 min
9/27/2024, 3:32:37 PM27 trades$2,66915 min
10/3/2024, 4:52:42 PM4 trades$2,6145 min
9/27/2024, 4:22:34 PM4 trades$1,8224 min
9/27/2024, 6:01:47 PM1 trades$1,8180 min
10/3/2024, 5:11:20 PM3 trades$1,7445 min
9/27/2024, 4:33:11 PM4 trades$1,1495 min
10/2/2024, 5:43:27 AM1 trades$1,0920 min
10/22/2024, 6:07:44 AM1 trades$9000 min
10/2/2024, 4:53:23 AM1 trades$8900 min
10/2/2024, 4:29:08 PM1 trades$8700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-27
10-24
01-06
03-18
08-11
03-01
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.4 / M43.1 / H55.5