@baummark2

#143,51711

0xc2d295f613f39e29d77024dc8e84bebb4de11615

~92d· 832 markets · 5604 tradesVol: $402,6752026-08-04 19:44:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (162/832)0/20
0.90x (win $16,143 / loss $17,978)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9410/15
Sortino -1.5160/10
$-0.0518 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 56 (832 markets)10/10
23/77 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 176% of peak ($4,554 / $2,583)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+309
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

1
💰 FINANCE#9,443$309Vol: $402,675

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$309
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$402,675
Total Redeem
$1,291
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
832
total markets
Trades
3970B / 1634S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
162W / 670L events
Realized PnL
$309
Win Rate
19%
162W / 670L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,040 (9.825782057911065% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 27 2026?$1,366
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?$876
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $365?$798
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $610?$722
Will Meta (META) finish week of June 1 above $600?$566
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of April 27 2026?$491
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on April 28?$459
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 15 above $395?$439
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of June 22 2026?$417
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$407

Top Losers

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?$-679
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of June 8 2026?$-578
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in June?$-498
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in May?$-474
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of April 27 2026?$-456
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$-426
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?$-425
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$-388
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?$-373
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?$-336

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.049
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
11.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.4
Very active
Markets / Day
7.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.2m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
33.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 2.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock53 trades/day — mass trading7.9 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.4%
Mid (20-55c)6.4%
High (>55c)33.2%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 7:55:50 PM165 trades$3,46145 min
4/28/2026, 12:40:32 PM28 trades$1,62715 min
5/8/2026, 1:30:21 PM29 trades$1,43919 min
4/28/2026, 2:51:14 PM13 trades$1,3006 min
4/27/2026, 1:23:04 PM35 trades$1,20317 min
4/27/2026, 7:49:10 PM69 trades$1,15836 min
5/1/2026, 1:12:58 PM110 trades$1,05031 min
4/24/2026, 1:20:00 PM83 trades$1,04229 min
6/12/2026, 8:05:01 PM39 trades$1,0000 min
4/30/2026, 1:25:32 PM75 trades$96430 min
5/8/2026, 2:32:32 PM15 trades$81016 min
4/24/2026, 3:45:14 PM61 trades$80733 min
4/30/2026, 8:03:16 PM18 trades$7963 min
4/23/2026, 1:22:04 PM60 trades$77729 min
4/24/2026, 7:38:36 PM42 trades$77027 min
6/5/2026, 7:28:49 PM19 trades$71821 min
6/5/2026, 7:55:15 PM13 trades$71710 min
4/28/2026, 1:27:48 PM13 trades$7138 min
4/21/2026, 1:38:04 PM11 trades$6608 min
6/4/2026, 11:34:43 AM9 trades$6423 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
05-01
05-14
05-28
06-15
06-30
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.74/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.4 / M6.4 / H33.2