@baselin
#2,802,532310xc35fa3901e72cd80ca00120f4e5c0ee22db110ec
~8d· 19 markets · 45 tradesVol: $5,6752026-08-06 07:08:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (10/16)16.2/20
0.94x (win $607 / loss $648)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8090/15
Sortino -1.0130/10
$-0.0213 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1175 (16 markets)6.6/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 115% of peak ($308 / $267)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 62%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#58,636$119Vol: $2,056
₿ CRYPTO#1,564,939$-297Vol: $1,496
💰 FINANCE#61,435$8Vol: $1,002
💻 TECH#254,449$-250Vol: $576
🎭 CULTURE#26,910$64Vol: $430
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-342
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,675
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
24B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-345
Vol: $1,576
Month
$-342
Vol: $1,576
All Time
$-342
Vol: $5,675
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
63%
10W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-342
Win Rate
63%
10W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-108
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $367 (1.07221767594108% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$156
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$114
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$96
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$85
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$39
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?$35
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$22
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$15
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings?$14
Top Losers
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-238
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$-200
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-100
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$-50
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$-50
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.039
Sortino
-0.056
HHI
1225
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27%
Top-5 markets
58.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.41
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
9
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 0.41 — uniform order sizes62% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.38
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)45.8%
High (>55c)50%
Sessions
#123/1/2026, 8:54:27 AM10 trades$71015 min
6/20/2026, 3:31:52 AM19 trades$4954 min
2/21/2026, 1:46:14 AM2 trades$2001 min
3/3/2026, 4:57:33 AM2 trades$2004 min
8/4/2026, 11:44:48 PM6 trades$1570 min
6/20/2026, 3:21:50 AM2 trades$1560 min
2/20/2026, 6:48:44 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/10/2026, 4:36:09 AM2 trades$1000 min
3/13/2026, 2:13:41 AM1 trades$1000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
02-21
03-01
03-03
03-10
03-13
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M45.8 / H50