@littledice

#58,23758

0xc3a69ab145d0b89b6c95c1dd56c182e249230b35

~79d· 41 markets · 544 tradesVol: $73,5142026-08-04 21:44:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (14/27)10.9/20
1.44x (win $113 / loss $78)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.58215/15
Sortino 4.56110/10
$+0.0012 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 957 (27 markets)7.7/10
12/22 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 82% of peak ($28 / $35)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1,725
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#12,702$1,730Vol: $70,592
CRYPTO#1,370,674$-44Vol: $1,510
SPORTS#338,048$5Vol: $870
💰 FINANCE#29,003$40Vol: $373
🎭 CULTURE#229,529$0Vol: $85
📈 ECONOMICS#460,719$-1Vol: $75
📢 MENTIONS#116,657$-5Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,725
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,514
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
291B / 253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$-79
Vol: $0
Week
$250
Vol: $43
Month
$481
Vol: $543
All Time
$1,725
Vol: $73,514

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
14W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$1,725
Win Rate
52%
14W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $65 (0.03784892886951683% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$32
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??$15
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$9
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $480 end of December?$6
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?$4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $490 end of December?$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?$2

Top Losers

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$-13
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$-7
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?$-5
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$-5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 13?$-4
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 15?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.132
Sortino
0.229
HHI
1
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 951s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)19.2%
High (>55c)66.3%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 3:55:41 PM28 trades$5,4824 min
6/1/2026, 5:27:56 AM35 trades$4,31417 min
7/27/2026, 7:30:13 AM2 trades$3,8330 min
7/13/2026, 2:11:07 PM12 trades$2,84010 min
6/1/2026, 5:19:46 PM4 trades$1,9804 min
7/27/2026, 2:32:07 PM2 trades$1,8110 min
7/29/2026, 8:24:57 PM11 trades$1,3100 min
7/28/2026, 9:35:41 PM7 trades$1,1320 min
7/23/2026, 5:56:00 PM4 trades$9920 min
7/5/2026, 3:53:43 PM7 trades$9050 min
7/29/2026, 3:08:54 AM1 trades$8890 min
7/22/2026, 6:19:37 PM7 trades$7691 min
7/29/2026, 1:56:30 AM4 trades$7280 min
6/1/2026, 3:55:49 AM12 trades$6605 min
7/5/2026, 3:06:50 PM2 trades$5490 min
7/11/2026, 2:40:22 PM10 trades$5390 min
7/24/2026, 10:40:33 PM1 trades$5270 min
6/1/2026, 6:18:05 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/24/2026, 6:16:43 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/2/2026, 1:59:45 AM1 trades$4170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
12-16
12-22
01-12
02-18
06-05
07-10
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 97 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.4 / M19.2 / H66.3