@HocusPorkus

#382,0852

0xc3d52e2fb2cca1828f8c66dee60b56746dae1d72

~18d· 19 markets · 93 tradesVol: $3,1142026-08-05 04:02:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (4/17)0/20
0.15x (win $60 / loss $413)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1200/15
Sortino -5.8410/10
$-1.2394 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5364 (17 markets)0/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 1214% of peak ($384 / $32)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+27
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#161,115$12Vol: $2,243
SPORTS#220,861$23Vol: $706
CRYPTO#1,044,635$-5Vol: $116
🎭 CULTURE#578,349$-2Vol: $49

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,114
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
37B / 56S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$27
Vol: $3,114

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
4W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$27
Win Rate
24%
4W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54 (1.9788321167883212% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$23
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$19
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?$12
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-327
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$-10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$-10
Santos FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5$-10
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$-10
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)$-10
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?$-4
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-4
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.305
Sortino
-0.232
HHI
6076
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.932
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
75%
Top-5 markets
111.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.8h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1376s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.1%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)32.4%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 10:51:39 AM5 trades$3520 min
7/1/2026, 5:11:13 PM4 trades$1750 min
4/15/2026, 5:32:42 PM5 trades$1360 min
6/8/2026, 5:14:49 PM4 trades$771 min
5/5/2026, 2:04:42 AM10 trades$685 min
5/10/2026, 8:13:56 PM6 trades$672 min
5/18/2026, 12:44:46 AM8 trades$591 min
6/30/2026, 8:45:14 PM4 trades$500 min
7/2/2026, 1:05:25 PM6 trades$480 min
6/8/2026, 8:43:46 PM4 trades$461 min
5/10/2026, 8:57:44 PM2 trades$450 min
5/10/2026, 4:59:56 PM4 trades$431 min
5/16/2026, 3:28:54 PM2 trades$310 min
5/4/2026, 9:14:12 PM2 trades$290 min
5/4/2026, 8:32:04 PM5 trades$251 min
6/16/2026, 2:05:16 AM4 trades$250 min
4/26/2026, 4:28:04 PM3 trades$250 min
5/5/2026, 7:30:22 PM2 trades$240 min
4/16/2026, 11:25:16 PM2 trades$160 min
5/17/2026, 3:20:20 PM2 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-16
05-04
05-05
05-09
05-10
05-16
05-17
05-18
06-08
06-16
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.53/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.1 / M32.4 / H32.4