@0xc3e016…7356

#3,002,35676

0xc3e016d8833dd3685d55c9b7f7c4e4a883e1fc2d

~29d· 157 markets · 560 tradesVol: $125,2432026-08-04 19:44:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (62/154)5.1/20
3.31x (win $16,056 / loss $4,850)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.71515/15
Sortino 41.75910/10
$+1.2701 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 175 (154 markets)10/10
8/23 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($1,216 / $12,113)10/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,631,670$-1,365Vol: $102,927
💰 FINANCE#651,320$-595Vol: $12,994
🏛️ POLITICS#1,561,288$-199Vol: $8,661
🎭 CULTURE#598,794$-3Vol: $578
📈 ECONOMICS#551,079$-3Vol: $83

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,165
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$125,243
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
157
total markets
Trades
329B / 231S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
62W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$-2,165
Win Rate
40%
62W / 92L
Profit Factor
3.31x
Avg Win
$259
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,458 (3.9060711993239345% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5,985
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1,244
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1,230
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$990
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$732
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$710
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$622
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$551
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$508
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$334

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?$-357
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?$-218
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?$-187
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?$-152
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?$-150
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$-144
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-111
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$-106
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in June?$-101
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.190
Sortino
2.227
HHI
147
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.192
Kelly %
31.0%
Half-Kelly
15.5%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
17.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 106s — normal for humanCV 0.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.6%
Mid (20-55c)49.5%
High (>55c)11.9%

Sessions

#12
3/14/2026, 9:47:57 PM31 trades$1,31841 min
3/13/2026, 9:10:51 AM9 trades$1,0609 min
3/13/2026, 7:55:25 AM11 trades$86220 min
3/22/2026, 5:59:47 AM10 trades$55415 min
3/14/2026, 11:40:55 PM15 trades$52522 min
3/15/2026, 7:05:05 AM10 trades$49629 min
3/14/2026, 5:29:59 PM13 trades$47219 min
3/13/2026, 8:21:49 AM9 trades$46517 min
6/21/2026, 4:49:19 PM7 trades$4571 min
3/28/2026, 9:07:06 PM16 trades$41017 min
3/14/2026, 6:04:29 PM9 trades$4048 min
7/5/2026, 2:26:37 PM3 trades$3700 min
3/8/2026, 10:34:29 AM4 trades$3635 min
6/16/2026, 12:07:24 PM2 trades$3460 min
3/11/2026, 4:14:45 PM6 trades$3232 min
6/16/2026, 8:12:21 AM4 trades$3120 min
3/13/2026, 10:40:15 AM12 trades$30513 min
4/4/2026, 6:00:53 PM2 trades$2890 min
6/12/2026, 1:45:43 PM15 trades$2723 min
3/22/2026, 11:10:13 AM25 trades$26023 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-12
03-15
03-22
03-28
06-10
06-15
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.06/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.6 / M49.5 / H11.9