@trader-c3f626da

#1,983,28543

0xc3f626da3c2ed51ce36168047d437aede190060f

~63d· 454 markets · 4909 tradesVol: $6,2412026-08-03 16:50:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (204/386)11.4/20
1.04x (win $605 / loss $580)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3005.6/15
Sortino 0.8548.5/10
$+0.0117 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 151 (386 markets)10/10
28/60 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($102 / $127)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 11.5 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#162,984$11Vol: $3,060
SPORTS#1,548,687$-37Vol: $1,911
📢 MENTIONS#71,760$-0Vol: $165
📈 ECONOMICS#156,558$0Vol: $74
🎭 CULTURE#532,873$-1Vol: $63
💰 FINANCE#118,090$2Vol: $53
CRYPTO#495,375$0Vol: $50
💻 TECH#180,300$-1Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,241
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
454
total markets
Trades
2456B / 2453S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $30
Week
$1
Vol: $96
Month
$-4
Vol: $259
All Time
$-16
Vol: $6,241

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
204W / 182L events
Realized PnL
$-15
Win Rate
53%
204W / 182L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $253 (16.49121665582303% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$194
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$24
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$19
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$12
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$10
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner$8
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5$8
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$8

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-26
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-26
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-15
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-13
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$-13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.016
Sortino
0.046
HHI
110
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
15.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.9
Very active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.7m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 366s — normal for humanCV 0.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading7.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)83.1%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 11:19:35 PM4 trades$550 min
6/9/2026, 2:49:37 AM2 trades$460 min
6/14/2026, 2:14:07 AM4 trades$321 min
6/14/2026, 10:29:15 PM39 trades$3223 min
6/30/2026, 10:46:56 PM40 trades$3010 min
6/14/2026, 4:06:57 PM39 trades$2939 min
6/13/2026, 4:31:33 PM28 trades$2718 min
7/6/2026, 9:11:26 PM30 trades$2710 min
6/6/2026, 8:34:13 PM6 trades$273 min
6/11/2026, 5:47:39 PM18 trades$2611 min
7/28/2026, 10:25:08 PM26 trades$2618 min
6/7/2026, 9:21:10 PM30 trades$2514 min
6/7/2026, 8:29:55 PM24 trades$247 min
6/14/2026, 6:35:00 PM24 trades$2316 min
6/9/2026, 6:56:18 PM14 trades$232 min
6/7/2026, 8:46:00 PM24 trades$2218 min
6/7/2026, 7:53:00 PM30 trades$2110 min
6/14/2026, 11:47:28 PM18 trades$2013 min
6/7/2026, 12:10:45 AM6 trades$190 min
6/25/2026, 8:03:59 PM4 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-13
06-23
07-03
07-13
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M14.5 / H83.1