@xiaojia1

#2,556,41640

0xc46de2d2989e12cd9ade84a90909acb6be2d9e12

~207d· 456 markets · 796 tradesVol: $185,422 @XiaoJJ5202026-08-04 23:27:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (428/455)20/20
0.75x (win $529 / loss $710)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6820/15
Sortino -0.6970/10
$-0.0016 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 45 (455 markets)10/10
183/200 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 411% of peak ($540 / $131)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Whale
$109,894 invested
Consistent
183/200 profitable days
Win Streak
60 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,555,192$-261Vol: $167,623
🌤️ WEATHER#5,778$146Vol: $17,612
🏛️ POLITICS#151,161$14Vol: $188

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-101
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$185,422
Total Redeem
$20,010
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
456
total markets
Trades
523B / 273S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~207d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $115
Week
$1
Vol: $719
Month
$2
Vol: $719
All Time
$-101
Vol: $185,422

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
428W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-101
Win Rate
94%
428W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-59

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54 (0.5389655514742381% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on March 25?$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on April 1?$17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 2?$17
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 1?$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 28?$10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on March 26?$8
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?$7
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 3?$7

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-284
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?$-152
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?$-149
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 9?$-60
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?$-42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 29?$-8
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 27?$-5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 29?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
5.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 8142s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.76
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)99.2%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 12:15:14 PM4 trades$3,1581 min
6/4/2026, 5:28:13 AM2 trades$1,7020 min
5/18/2026, 7:35:40 AM2 trades$1,6320 min
5/9/2026, 7:57:17 AM2 trades$1,6140 min
5/2/2026, 12:04:10 AM2 trades$1,5920 min
5/4/2026, 11:57:36 AM2 trades$1,5800 min
5/10/2026, 7:15:32 AM6 trades$1,5180 min
1/31/2026, 5:11:20 PM5 trades$1,4324 min
5/19/2026, 5:30:28 AM2 trades$1,3300 min
4/27/2026, 11:12:12 PM2 trades$9760 min
2/18/2026, 2:42:52 PM4 trades$9612 min
5/11/2026, 10:55:02 PM7 trades$9300 min
12/27/2025, 9:04:41 AM5 trades$9195 min
3/17/2026, 6:20:13 AM3 trades$8712 min
6/6/2026, 12:16:03 AM4 trades$8700 min
6/5/2026, 9:43:37 AM2 trades$8550 min
6/4/2026, 11:38:12 PM2 trades$8530 min
6/1/2026, 12:17:01 PM2 trades$8390 min
1/23/2026, 6:28:40 AM3 trades$8251 min
5/5/2026, 12:32:40 AM3 trades$8170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-10
11-23
01-02
02-09
03-15
05-07
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.8 / H99.2