@dumb-trader67

#108,40618

0xc4843becbc3252a6a83a698e106f29aa79164cd5

~141d· 152 markets · 2370 tradesVol: $1,544,3052026-08-04 19:46:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (50/137)3.2/20
1.01x (win $82,558 / loss $82,132)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0290.5/15
Sortino 0.0390.4/10
$+0.0017 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 361 (137 markets)10/10
26/72 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 133% of peak ($32,572 / $24,514)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+577
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
Whale
$250,053 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#3,565$13,137Vol: $1,040,446
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,989$-10,112Vol: $408,878
💰 FINANCE#657,441$-3,756Vol: $42,692
🎭 CULTURE#5,334$919Vol: $38,740
⚽ SPORTS#88,982$195Vol: $8,450
💻 TECH#251,764$-151Vol: $1,930
🌤️ WEATHER#10,544$48Vol: $100
📈 ECONOMICS#441,115$-1Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$577
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,544,305
Total Redeem
$150
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
1961B / 409S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~141d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,356
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,021
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,337
Vol: $0
All Time
$577
Vol: $1,544,305

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
50W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$577
Win Rate
37%
50W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$1,651
Avg Loss
$-1,002

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,740 (41.1355027637712% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?$8,715
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?$8,020
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?$7,005
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$6,891
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$6,731
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$5,341
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$4,714
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4,227
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$4,000
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$3,498

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-16,751
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-14,029
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-12,000
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?$-4,440
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$-2,726
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$-2,588
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$-2,329
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$-2,320
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-2,292
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-2,040

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.002
Sortino
0.002
HHI
268
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
27.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 190s — normal for humanCV 4.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.28
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)8.2%

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 10:26:57 PM7 trades$16,84611 min
12/13/2025, 12:03:30 AM2 trades$12,7123 min
6/16/2026, 3:05:28 PM2 trades$12,3481 min
12/14/2025, 3:52:43 PM10 trades$11,34216 min
2/18/2026, 12:57:14 PM1 trades$11,3200 min
11/25/2025, 2:26:41 PM6 trades$10,6762 min
4/2/2026, 12:50:41 AM41 trades$10,2131 min
12/14/2025, 9:52:55 PM2 trades$9,3100 min
12/14/2025, 9:45:11 PM2 trades$9,2002 min
2/28/2026, 2:32:01 PM23 trades$8,6205 min
12/30/2025, 6:05:55 AM4 trades$8,5623 min
2/28/2026, 2:02:49 PM9 trades$8,0784 min
11/21/2025, 12:17:51 PM6 trades$7,4356 min
12/11/2025, 8:05:09 AM2 trades$7,3350 min
12/29/2025, 11:37:57 AM19 trades$7,01513 min
11/25/2025, 2:18:23 PM4 trades$6,8802 min
12/14/2025, 9:28:35 PM2 trades$6,2502 min
12/7/2025, 9:19:51 PM7 trades$5,8374 min
4/2/2026, 1:07:35 AM33 trades$5,8125 min
12/2/2025, 1:49:32 AM4 trades$5,7160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-26
11-09
11-28
12-14
02-17
03-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70 / M21.8 / H8.2