@bluthner
#374,814470xc4c1e567e3345ffa70192b6964b95e1ba27d8a0e
~55d· 35 markets · 125 tradesVol: $15,8992026-08-05 00:38:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (13/33)4.7/20
1.16x (win $854 / loss $735)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.08615/15
Sortino 1.87310/10
$+0.0355 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 784 (33 markets)8.6/10
11/27 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 89% of peak ($215 / $241)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+29
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#1,548,796$-237Vol: $4,803
🏛️ POLITICS#1,532,133$-114Vol: $3,988
⚽ SPORTS#79,018$252Vol: $2,723
💰 FINANCE#19,127$91Vol: $2,590
📈 ECONOMICS#79,379$2Vol: $1,535
🌤️ WEATHER#12,357$35Vol: $260
Overview
#1Net PnL
$29
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,899
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
94B / 31S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$29
Vol: $15,899
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
13W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$29
Win Rate
39%
13W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-37
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $473 (16.173214895797745% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?$262
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$106
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$105
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$92
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by December 31?$66
Will another company be accused of insider trading?$58
Will Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? $44
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$35
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?$31
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$22
Top Losers
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$-204
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$-124
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?$-93
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?$-42
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$-30
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?$-28
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?$-28
Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$-28
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30? $-27
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-22
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.056
Sortino
0.105
HHI
685
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
43.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 8283s — normal for humanCV 1.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.79
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.6%
Mid (20-55c)24.5%
High (>55c)48.9%
Sessions
#1210/22/2025, 9:40:05 PM1 trades$5250 min
10/16/2025, 2:28:13 AM3 trades$2111 min
10/30/2025, 5:17:05 PM1 trades$2000 min
9/14/2025, 6:26:42 PM1 trades$1760 min
9/8/2025, 4:05:00 PM1 trades$1600 min
7/11/2026, 6:13:55 PM4 trades$1551 min
2/25/2026, 5:30:02 PM4 trades$1475 min
9/2/2025, 6:13:20 PM3 trades$1466 min
10/20/2025, 8:15:53 PM1 trades$1420 min
9/10/2025, 5:26:31 PM1 trades$1410 min
10/21/2025, 9:19:51 PM1 trades$1330 min
8/28/2025, 9:48:35 PM1 trades$1280 min
8/28/2025, 8:37:05 PM1 trades$1000 min
12/1/2025, 11:48:58 AM1 trades$1000 min
2/24/2026, 6:11:28 PM2 trades$1000 min
12/1/2025, 9:53:06 PM1 trades$990 min
9/5/2025, 11:21:48 PM1 trades$970 min
8/28/2025, 9:00:21 PM1 trades$930 min
10/6/2025, 4:43:20 PM1 trades$840 min
2/26/2026, 1:11:24 PM1 trades$840 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
09-10
10-15
10-30
01-13
06-03
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 78 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.6 / M24.5 / H48.9