@swagman13

#393,93827

0xc4f8b4913a60d593e1971f7b7ee26df7886ad817

~40d· 40 markets · 139 tradesVol: $2,2492026-08-05 15:50:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (20/32)16.2/20
0.88x (win $94 / loss $108)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7280/15
Sortino -0.8570/10
$-0.0219 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2132 (32 markets)1.8/10
10/16 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 1854% of peak ($89 / $5)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+25
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
Consistent
10/16 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,320,233$-29Vol: $1,149
💰 FINANCE#21,626$72Vol: $939
🏛️ POLITICS#1,081,310$-3Vol: $100
⚽ SPORTS#1,260,176$-6Vol: $40
🎭 CULTURE#676,243$-8Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,249
Total Redeem
$42
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
107B / 32S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$25
Vol: $2,249

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
20W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$25
Win Rate
63%
20W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (2.7727999999999997% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$40
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?$19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$10
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$2
BNB Up or Down - March 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1
BNB Up or Down - March 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-73
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$-8
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-8
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3AM ET$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$-1
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.037
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
1066
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
2.7%
Half-Kelly
1.3%
Top-1 market
24.2%
Top-5 markets
58.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7744s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)48.6%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 6:39:51 PM2 trades$694 min
4/27/2026, 5:37:18 PM2 trades$340 min
5/8/2026, 6:37:12 PM1 trades$340 min
5/19/2026, 9:16:03 PM1 trades$330 min
4/22/2026, 2:46:54 PM2 trades$300 min
4/15/2026, 8:03:40 PM2 trades$270 min
4/27/2026, 1:00:12 AM3 trades$240 min
4/22/2026, 2:18:54 AM1 trades$230 min
4/17/2026, 8:48:56 AM1 trades$220 min
4/17/2026, 5:47:50 AM1 trades$170 min
5/9/2026, 9:08:58 AM1 trades$160 min
5/14/2026, 6:17:45 AM1 trades$150 min
6/26/2026, 9:50:11 AM1 trades$150 min
4/15/2026, 10:30:06 PM1 trades$140 min
5/22/2026, 7:53:18 PM1 trades$140 min
4/16/2026, 8:00:32 PM3 trades$142 min
5/7/2026, 1:25:54 PM1 trades$140 min
5/9/2026, 1:26:52 PM1 trades$130 min
5/20/2026, 9:47:11 AM1 trades$120 min
5/9/2026, 1:59:42 AM1 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
03-17
03-30
04-07
04-30
05-05
05-08
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.6 / M31.8 / H48.6