@Isaac-Law

#153,76857

0xc5448a47ddc598e431dee35135b019af7ce868c6

~20d· 107 markets · 322 tradesVol: $27,1532026-08-04 21:44:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (27/106)0/20
1.28x (win $2,147 / loss $1,679)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.60915/15
Sortino 4.03610/10
$+0.2291 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 166 (106 markets)10/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($591 / $648)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+267
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#51,197$340Vol: $14,771
⚽ SPORTS#1,637,692$-70Vol: $12,293
🏛️ POLITICS#1,046,502$-3Vol: $90

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$267
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,153
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
114B / 208S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
27W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$267
Win Rate
25%
27W / 79L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $755 (2.8298215356928615% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$472
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$157
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$126
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$114
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$98
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$98
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$86
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$85
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$82

Top Losers

Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5$-200
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$-140
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-88
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$-50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$-50
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)$-40
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?$-40
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.133
Sortino
0.175
HHI
272
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.215
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
25.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity14 trades/day — very active4.7 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.9%
Mid (20-55c)41.2%
High (>55c)14.9%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 2:48:37 PM36 trades$4948 min
7/5/2026, 9:31:22 AM32 trades$3360 min
6/24/2026, 6:18:40 PM12 trades$3002 min
7/2/2026, 2:27:29 PM4 trades$2582 min
6/26/2026, 12:02:47 PM12 trades$2503 min
6/24/2026, 1:01:59 AM4 trades$2360 min
6/21/2026, 1:26:55 PM10 trades$2201 min
6/17/2026, 2:33:58 PM10 trades$1952 min
7/6/2026, 2:20:55 PM2 trades$1880 min
6/23/2026, 10:11:43 AM8 trades$1871 min
6/16/2026, 10:30:07 AM6 trades$1793 min
7/4/2026, 5:51:05 PM6 trades$1720 min
6/19/2026, 4:38:01 PM9 trades$1553 min
6/23/2026, 5:12:37 AM4 trades$1451 min
6/25/2026, 3:05:17 PM8 trades$1382 min
7/5/2026, 6:56:04 AM12 trades$1360 min
6/19/2026, 11:01:49 PM2 trades$1320 min
7/5/2026, 4:09:31 PM4 trades$1250 min
6/21/2026, 4:04:59 AM2 trades$1200 min
7/5/2026, 3:49:22 PM2 trades$1160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-17
06-20
06-23
06-26
07-01
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.9 / M41.2 / H14.9