@lizardcapital
#5,268690xc5fe0c7b9dfeb9329ea86c70343c4d332995d475
~35d· 79 markets · 3153 tradesVol: $1,616,4582026-08-04 19:06:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (19/79)0/20
2.07x (win $72,287 / loss $34,977)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.19415/15
Sortino 17.53510/10
$+0.5881 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 836 (79 markets)8.3/10
10/25 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($13,959 / $51,269)8.6/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+32,019
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20
Whale
$63,441 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#1,847$33,899Vol: $1,321,924
₿ CRYPTO#1,660,856$-2,912Vol: $223,088
🏛️ POLITICS#18,493$955Vol: $59,381
📈 ECONOMICS#14,421$77Vol: $12,066
Overview
#1Net PnL
$32,019
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,616,458
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
2451B / 702S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
19W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$32,019
Win Rate
24%
19W / 60L
Profit Factor
2.07x
Avg Win
$3,805
Avg Loss
$-583
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,337 (1.509651958578202% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$21,371
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$18,445
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?$8,521
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$6,012
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?$5,904
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5,531
49ers vs. Rams$2,816
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1,046
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$961
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?$881
Top Losers
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?$-5,770
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$-4,530
Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$-3,535
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-3,168
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2,187
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-1,940
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open?$-1,488
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1,417
Miami vs. Florida State$-1,186
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$-889
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.164
Sortino
0.875
HHI
766
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.484
Kelly %
3.3%
Half-Kelly
1.7%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
47.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
41s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.7m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.2
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 41s — normal for humanCV 5.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
58.28
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)77.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.6%
High (>55c)12.9%
Sessions
#124/10/2026, 12:02:13 AM34 trades$8,8787 min
4/12/2026, 12:20:07 AM14 trades$8,6428 min
4/11/2026, 12:33:29 AM14 trades$6,4563 min
4/10/2026, 5:10:05 AM13 trades$6,2071 min
5/17/2026, 8:46:29 PM12 trades$5,74311 min
5/16/2026, 6:37:59 PM9 trades$4,7075 min
5/16/2026, 5:53:56 PM8 trades$4,2391 min
5/17/2026, 7:14:27 PM24 trades$4,19715 min
4/12/2026, 9:58:47 PM12 trades$3,5803 min
5/16/2026, 10:49:55 PM38 trades$3,40643 min
1/28/2026, 4:43:06 PM10 trades$3,36015 min
10/4/2025, 5:34:15 PM10 trades$3,2402 min
4/12/2026, 7:25:35 PM158 trades$2,99416 min
4/12/2026, 7:00:53 PM57 trades$2,85712 min
1/29/2026, 6:42:54 PM3 trades$2,8073 min
10/2/2025, 8:52:27 PM1 trades$2,6680 min
10/2/2025, 10:32:53 PM3 trades$2,6030 min
4/12/2026, 7:51:47 PM71 trades$2,05513 min
6/21/2026, 10:02:07 PM5 trades$2,0097 min
3/26/2026, 7:54:35 PM1 trades$2,0080 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
01-04
02-24
03-27
04-12
06-18
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 97 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 58.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L77.5 / M9.6 / H12.9