@odinguy
#146,990370xc68c4efa3edbf7451206eeeb04066ab358e25e43
~25d· 23 markets · 92 tradesVol: $12,1142026-08-04 18:54:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (7/21)1.7/20
1.10x (win $796 / loss $723)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.64912.2/15
Sortino 1.01710/10
$+0.0350 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 1883 (21 markets)3.1/10
7/15 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($411 / $485)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+294
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#27,383$493Vol: $7,023
💰 FINANCE#622,372$-59Vol: $2,062
⚽ SPORTS#1,755,580$-249Vol: $1,470
🎭 CULTURE#25,097$72Vol: $852
₿ CRYPTO#98,517$97Vol: $452
📈 ECONOMICS#651,186$-59Vol: $254
Overview
#1Net PnL
$294
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,114
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
58B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$294
Vol: $12,114
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
7W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$294
Win Rate
33%
7W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$114
Avg Loss
$-52
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $624 (2.119229593396515% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$373
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$151
Biden drops out of presidential race?$99
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$99
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$16
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$7
Top Losers
Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?$-199
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-130
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-121
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-36
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$-36
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-32
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?$-30
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-27
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?$-27
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-21
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.033
Sortino
0.051
HHI
1352
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.3%
Top-5 markets
66.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
43
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)43.1%
High (>55c)34.5%
Sessions
#1211/6/2024, 5:04:03 AM1 trades$9760 min
11/5/2024, 6:43:37 PM3 trades$5008 min
7/18/2024, 5:52:47 PM4 trades$3523 min
10/29/2025, 4:56:59 PM1 trades$2000 min
9/13/2025, 12:38:05 PM1 trades$1990 min
7/8/2026, 7:03:56 PM6 trades$1875 min
7/16/2026, 4:19:50 AM6 trades$1701 min
8/4/2024, 2:25:56 AM1 trades$1650 min
7/27/2024, 9:19:09 PM1 trades$1180 min
7/15/2026, 7:03:11 PM7 trades$1160 min
2/27/2024, 5:01:10 PM3 trades$992 min
11/5/2024, 4:45:33 PM2 trades$935 min
8/1/2024, 2:50:20 PM1 trades$900 min
7/14/2026, 6:44:47 PM2 trades$770 min
7/16/2024, 5:45:20 AM1 trades$770 min
8/5/2024, 3:21:01 AM1 trades$650 min
7/19/2024, 6:04:04 AM2 trades$651 min
6/17/2026, 4:07:16 AM4 trades$618 min
7/6/2026, 8:12:40 PM8 trades$524 min
10/31/2025, 7:59:41 PM2 trades$512 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
07-18
08-04
10-15
09-13
10-31
07-08
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 617 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.48/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.4 / M43.1 / H34.5