@pol-trader

#2,865,74152

0xc6973f6780096b70ef570cc72b7801c6561e412b

~10d· 51 markets · 303 tradesVol: $15,1082026-08-04 20:40:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (16/36)7.2/20
1.15x (win $917 / loss $796)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.31615/15
Sortino 2.54610/10
$+0.0237 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 605 (36 markets)9.5/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($268 / $388)0.2/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,587,847$-375Vol: $8,159
🎭 CULTURE#784,197$-111Vol: $5,876
🌤️ WEATHER#269,853$-33Vol: $773
📢 MENTIONS#155,475$-47Vol: $200
💰 FINANCE#362,791$-0Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,108
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
144B / 159S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-565
Vol: $15,108

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
16W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-565
Win Rate
44%
16W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $638 (1.1282441397611673% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$408
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$142
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$88
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$40
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?$39
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$29
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$28
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in June 2026?$26
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$23

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?$-164
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?$-89
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-88
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?$-82
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$-68
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$-55
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?$-45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 30?$-30
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-29
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.065
Sortino
0.129
HHI
344
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
30.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
23s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 23s — normal for humanCV 0.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)72.2%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 7:18:31 AM3 trades$2920 min
6/25/2026, 12:32:25 PM3 trades$2630 min
6/25/2026, 6:01:46 AM3 trades$2600 min
6/25/2026, 8:24:14 AM3 trades$2450 min
6/23/2026, 2:35:46 AM4 trades$2220 min
6/26/2026, 2:59:26 PM5 trades$2180 min
6/24/2026, 11:34:32 PM5 trades$2040 min
6/24/2026, 9:28:10 PM7 trades$2040 min
6/24/2026, 11:44:56 AM4 trades$2020 min
6/20/2026, 10:21:08 AM4 trades$1860 min
6/23/2026, 4:48:55 AM7 trades$1790 min
6/20/2026, 12:30:50 PM3 trades$1750 min
6/24/2026, 8:24:14 PM6 trades$1730 min
6/25/2026, 9:09:49 AM6 trades$1700 min
6/22/2026, 9:54:59 AM6 trades$1660 min
6/24/2026, 3:59:22 PM4 trades$1590 min
6/26/2026, 11:53:32 PM4 trades$1590 min
6/22/2026, 3:29:02 PM4 trades$1530 min
6/21/2026, 8:50:05 AM4 trades$1510 min
6/20/2026, 5:24:28 PM4 trades$1420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M21.5 / H72.2