@predicti…gmom

#44,10727

0xc698fc606d8e438464bdff64661cc76089b1b0d6

~15d· 15 markets · 273 tradesVol: $83,8782026-08-04 22:23:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (7/11)16.8/20
0.13x (win $1,513 / loss $11,561)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3710/15
Sortino -6.0520/10
$-0.2823 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2202 (11 markets)1.5/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 2027% of peak ($10,569 / $521)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+2,475
DCA Master
Avg 14.5 entries/market
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
High Roller
$1,017/day

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#11,906$1,933Vol: $55,493
⚽ SPORTS#93,857$173Vol: $14,180
🎭 CULTURE#9,705$360Vol: $8,147
💰 FINANCE#60,453$8Vol: $4,100
🌤️ WEATHER#11,449$41Vol: $958

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,475
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,878
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
170B / 103S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$140
Vol: $4,000
Week
$279
Vol: $10,678
Month
$328
Vol: $10,678
All Time
$2,475
Vol: $83,878

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
7W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$2,475
Win Rate
64%
7W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$216
Avg Loss
$-2,890

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,302 (0.5261367401194316% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$629
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$515
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$158
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$158
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$30
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?$16
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$7

Top Losers

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-10,391
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-877
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$-179
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?$-115

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.314
Sortino
-0.186
HHI
1315
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.372
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.2%
Top-5 markets
68.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.0m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.55
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)87.1%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 7:42:39 AM2 trades$4,1000 min
7/29/2026, 10:54:09 PM25 trades$3,41113 min
8/4/2026, 5:16:12 PM3 trades$3,2403 min
7/30/2026, 8:10:57 PM11 trades$2,8590 min
7/22/2026, 6:23:21 PM3 trades$2,1450 min
7/29/2026, 10:27:29 PM10 trades$1,74710 min
7/22/2026, 6:13:03 PM5 trades$1,4025 min
7/29/2026, 9:30:18 PM2 trades$1,1781 min
7/30/2026, 1:09:41 AM2 trades$9850 min
7/20/2026, 1:14:31 AM1 trades$9850 min
7/29/2026, 8:37:48 PM6 trades$9631 min
7/29/2026, 9:40:35 PM5 trades$9262 min
7/7/2026, 5:10:07 PM9 trades$8789 min
7/12/2026, 3:40:32 AM3 trades$8040 min
7/29/2026, 9:57:21 PM4 trades$7926 min
7/22/2026, 6:31:22 PM3 trades$7821 min
8/3/2026, 6:13:47 AM4 trades$7633 min
8/2/2026, 2:36:50 AM7 trades$7142 min
7/30/2026, 12:55:23 AM3 trades$7053 min
7/6/2026, 8:54:34 PM12 trades$6381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-01
07-07
07-12
07-20
07-21
07-22
07-25
07-27
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M11.8 / H87.1