@cheadle
#478,452150xc6c5e163d31511ee06e525043582235a95491e30
~32d· 83 markets · 106 tradesVol: $3,4952026-08-05 23:38:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (28/82)2.1/20
0.96x (win $586 / loss $611)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2610/15
Sortino -0.3670/10
$-0.0199 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 773 (82 markets)8.6/10
10/25 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($244 / $218)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+12
Contrarian
78% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#100,903$39Vol: $1,695
🎭 CULTURE#30,488$50Vol: $533
📢 MENTIONS#91,550$-2Vol: $446
💻 TECH#247,537$-75Vol: $112
₿ CRYPTO#154,445$31Vol: $67
💰 FINANCE#57,600$9Vol: $34
⚽ SPORTS#1,128,399$-3Vol: $24
Overview
#1Net PnL
$12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,495
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
88B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Week
$25
Vol: $0
Month
$30
Vol: $0
All Time
$12
Vol: $3,495
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
34%
28W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$12
Win Rate
34%
28W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-11
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $322 (27.842560553633216% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$144
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$101
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?$76
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$37
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$30
Will Kanye West release an album before July?$25
Will the U.S. military implement transgender ban? $20
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 13-20?$14
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?$13
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$11
Top Losers
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$-244
GTA VI released in 2025?$-75
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$-50
Will Hooters file for bankruptcy before June?$-38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-30
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-30
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?$-15
Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?$-12
Will Trump claim the debate was "rigged"?$-10
Will Kamala say "weird" or "weirdo" at debate?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.016
HHI
417
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
39.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.22
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28.4%
Mid (20-55c)50%
High (>55c)21.6%
Sessions
#124/7/2026, 12:53:27 PM10 trades$2950 min
7/9/2026, 5:32:52 PM6 trades$2740 min
10/9/2025, 10:06:10 PM1 trades$1840 min
5/4/2026, 6:13:28 PM2 trades$1690 min
8/17/2025, 2:35:16 PM1 trades$1080 min
3/23/2025, 9:21:37 AM2 trades$802 min
2/26/2025, 12:09:05 PM1 trades$750 min
11/29/2024, 11:55:03 PM1 trades$640 min
2/12/2026, 8:48:15 AM1 trades$500 min
10/11/2025, 4:48:56 AM1 trades$480 min
3/22/2025, 6:25:48 PM1 trades$450 min
2/26/2025, 12:22:07 PM4 trades$437 min
2/26/2025, 12:44:29 PM2 trades$403 min
3/1/2025, 8:44:43 AM1 trades$380 min
12/10/2024, 12:37:30 PM3 trades$312 min
9/10/2024, 6:09:53 PM3 trades$294 min
9/11/2024, 1:08:11 PM1 trades$200 min
10/29/2024, 12:47:52 PM1 trades$200 min
2/23/2025, 1:35:52 AM1 trades$200 min
2/26/2025, 11:57:19 AM1 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
09-14
09-24
10-22
02-23
10-09
05-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.22/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.4 / M50 / H21.6