@projectparrot

#2,806,49236

0xc77bc7c12cff77cd80de2d3377ce22aec3a6a526

~256d· 1632 markets · 40779 tradesVol: $1,560,3062026-08-04 17:18:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (770/1370)13.1/20
1.03x (win $55,217 / loss $53,855)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1613/15
Sortino 0.2452.4/10
$+0.0032 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 113 (1370 markets)10/10
111/236 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 184% of peak ($9,659 / $5,236)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 28.1 entries/market
Whale
$422,104 invested
High Roller
$1,091/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#17,477$1,043Vol: $1,263,682
🎭 CULTURE#759,918$-49Vol: $129,234
📈 ECONOMICS#677,705$-741Vol: $106,427
💰 FINANCE#654,674$-1,183Vol: $25,310
🌤️ WEATHER#281,653$-76Vol: $11,428
CRYPTO#1,557,239$-271Vol: $10,543
📢 MENTIONS#1,818$641Vol: $5,880
💻 TECH#2,803$353Vol: $5,872
SPORTS#1,659,043$-87Vol: $1,573

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-358
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,560,306
Total Redeem
$5,172
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1632
total markets
Trades
23833B / 16946S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~256d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-358
Vol: $1,560,306

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
770W / 600L events
Realized PnL
$-358
Win Rate
56%
770W / 600L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$72
Avg Loss
$-95

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,905 (44.40274714536977% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$8,631
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,795
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,479
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$1,339
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1,107
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1,015
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$973
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$953
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$942
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$937

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-5,523
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-2,686
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-2,070
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-2,038
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,836
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-1,202
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$-1,201
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,180
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$-1,064
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-1,005

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.008
Sortino
0.010
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
14.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
105.4
Very active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
102.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock105 trades/day — automation4.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)19.5%
High (>55c)62.5%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 11:01:49 PM42 trades$15,78320 min
4/29/2026, 3:01:00 PM51 trades$11,3831 min
4/29/2026, 4:29:26 AM1209 trades$10,07635 min
4/22/2026, 12:59:40 AM6 trades$10,0101 min
5/24/2026, 8:02:47 AM129 trades$8,4297 min
4/29/2026, 9:03:24 PM157 trades$7,97017 min
4/8/2026, 3:47:11 AM41 trades$6,1197 min
5/6/2026, 12:42:20 AM36 trades$6,0120 min
4/7/2026, 10:34:49 PM43 trades$5,5026 min
3/6/2026, 11:21:15 AM547 trades$5,27774 min
4/12/2026, 9:31:07 PM19 trades$5,1415 min
5/25/2026, 7:14:14 AM75 trades$4,7525 min
4/9/2026, 4:09:27 PM39 trades$4,70913 min
4/6/2026, 4:09:25 PM2 trades$4,6820 min
1/29/2026, 12:39:28 PM4 trades$4,3995 min
4/24/2026, 11:11:42 AM100 trades$4,36746 min
5/11/2026, 11:49:16 AM18 trades$4,3249 min
4/30/2026, 8:15:00 PM23 trades$4,2707 min
4/24/2026, 3:39:14 PM94 trades$3,82730 min
4/24/2026, 2:04:52 PM20 trades$3,78712 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
11-28
01-08
02-17
03-28
05-07
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M19.5 / H62.5