@0xc7bf…cbef

#2,986,63510

0xc7bf63e70626f4fd936f76370a04541f3a11cbef

~47d· 104 markets · 358 tradesVol: $48,3292026-08-04 18:54:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (30/88)2/20
0.34x (win $2,854 / loss $8,282)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2280/15
Sortino -3.2630/10
$-0.5829 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1270 (88 markets)6.2/10
14/38 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 540% of peak ($6,661 / $1,233)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,855$-1,784Vol: $31,002
🎭 CULTURE#15,966$157Vol: $9,433
📈 ECONOMICS#657,043$-87Vol: $4,712
📢 MENTIONS#121,346$-7Vol: $1,330
SPORTS#1,604,997$-55Vol: $805
💰 FINANCE#569,630$-10Vol: $454
CRYPTO#1,263,185$-20Vol: $135

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,814
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,329
Total Redeem
$27
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
188B / 170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,814
Vol: $48,329

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
30W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-1,814
Win Rate
34%
30W / 58L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$95
Avg Loss
$-148

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,243 (1.2367910381935256% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1,119
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$853
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$272
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$81
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$69
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$57
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$32
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$32

Top Losers

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-5,083
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-760
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$-650
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-508
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-200
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$-140
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-75
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$-72
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-68

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.167
Sortino
-0.133
HHI
1726
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.529
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.8%
Top-5 markets
70%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 620s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42%
Mid (20-55c)37.8%
High (>55c)20.2%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 8:34:39 AM24 trades$8,0131 min
4/9/2026, 11:41:35 AM11 trades$2,0990 min
4/10/2026, 10:15:11 AM9 trades$1,7381 min
4/10/2026, 1:51:27 AM16 trades$1,4430 min
4/10/2026, 9:57:13 AM9 trades$1,1890 min
3/27/2026, 11:33:25 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
5/4/2026, 8:51:10 PM8 trades$7505 min
3/24/2026, 3:32:29 PM1 trades$6020 min
3/25/2026, 6:50:11 AM1 trades$5000 min
4/12/2026, 5:03:43 PM8 trades$4470 min
4/9/2026, 7:14:33 AM8 trades$3921 min
4/24/2026, 10:19:18 AM9 trades$3873 min
3/24/2026, 12:21:13 PM1 trades$3000 min
3/25/2026, 6:36:53 AM3 trades$3003 min
4/7/2026, 2:48:47 PM13 trades$2702 min
4/15/2026, 4:44:18 PM8 trades$2540 min
4/8/2026, 11:45:27 PM10 trades$2231 min
4/5/2026, 8:56:01 AM6 trades$2132 min
4/15/2026, 10:33:52 AM3 trades$2110 min
4/8/2026, 5:28:59 AM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
03-13
03-21
03-30
04-08
04-22
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 89 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42 / M37.8 / H20.2