@0xc7fd…9963

37

0xc7fdfd8bffec8374f9d808b93aa906f995639963

~20d· 32 markets · 135 trades2026-08-04 23:53:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (9/29)0.5/20
1.07x (win $665 / loss $624)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4778.9/15
Sortino 0.8038/10
$+0.0419 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 541 (29 markets)9.8/10
7/15 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($432 / $473)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$984
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
58B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
9W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$21
Win Rate
31%
9W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$74
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $506 (24.6572541382668% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$287
Will Nuno Mendes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$173
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$46
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$38
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$34
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$28
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$27
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$13

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-140
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-101
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-97
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-60
Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-60
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-36
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-22
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-16
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.048
HHI
776
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
47%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1104s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)60.3%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 11:08:50 PM2 trades$1970 min
6/20/2026, 9:56:02 PM8 trades$1883 min
6/18/2026, 6:29:52 PM9 trades$1826 min
7/6/2026, 5:31:16 AM2 trades$1500 min
6/27/2026, 4:54:43 AM7 trades$1203 min
6/15/2026, 3:27:52 PM5 trades$1114 min
6/14/2026, 7:03:16 AM4 trades$1072 min
7/3/2026, 10:53:17 PM2 trades$990 min
7/5/2026, 9:50:58 PM3 trades$970 min
6/3/2026, 2:47:18 PM4 trades$891 min
6/22/2026, 2:28:38 AM4 trades$801 min
6/27/2026, 4:28:56 AM6 trades$743 min
6/10/2026, 3:05:39 PM5 trades$670 min
6/29/2026, 6:57:58 PM2 trades$660 min
6/27/2026, 1:56:17 AM2 trades$630 min
6/17/2026, 5:11:47 PM4 trades$471 min
6/15/2026, 11:33:33 AM2 trades$420 min
6/22/2026, 2:03:47 AM4 trades$400 min
6/17/2026, 7:58:26 PM4 trades$390 min
6/27/2026, 9:22:29 PM2 trades$370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-22
06-29
07-05
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.2 / M22.4 / H60.3