@spxtest

#2,780,93853

0xc808e7855e3ff6baebcfe9aec6965d86eafefffe

~34d· 114 markets · 541 tradesVol: $163,8932026-08-04 18:11:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (49/109)7.5/20
1.15x (win $2,182 / loss $1,901)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.01415/15
Sortino 1.39910/10
$+0.0107 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 786 (109 markets)8.6/10
17/29 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 125% of peak ($873 / $698)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#636,796$-129Vol: $114,711
🏛️ POLITICS#108,815$33Vol: $23,087
CRYPTO#119,320$59Vol: $9,321
🌤️ WEATHER#286,379$-113Vol: $4,498
📢 MENTIONS#162,010$-84Vol: $4,109
🎭 CULTURE#801,471$-325Vol: $3,135
SPORTS#69,456$325Vol: $1,600
💻 TECH#229,594$-12Vol: $1,100
📈 ECONOMICS#649,700$-54Vol: $132

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-300
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,893
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
349B / 192S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-59
Vol: $4,677
Week
$-341
Vol: $16,111
Month
$-252
Vol: $28,285
All Time
$-300
Vol: $163,893

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
49W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$-300
Win Rate
45%
49W / 60L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $862 (2.8702124825151536% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$510
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$184
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$168
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$110
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5$102
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$90
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 18?$80
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?$80
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$73
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 19?$69

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$-682
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 20?$-135
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 24?$-109
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-105
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$-99
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?$-79
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-66
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score$-66
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5$-55
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.052
Sortino
0.050
HHI
778
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
56.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 724s — normal for humanCV 4.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)65.6%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 3:50:06 PM2 trades$5,5300 min
7/24/2026, 3:49:27 PM9 trades$3,6951 min
7/21/2026, 3:32:28 PM6 trades$3,6220 min
8/3/2026, 1:20:06 PM4 trades$2,9855 min
7/29/2026, 11:18:05 AM2 trades$1,4902 min
6/20/2026, 2:00:50 AM11 trades$1,1211 min
6/28/2026, 4:43:55 AM3 trades$9530 min
7/24/2026, 3:03:36 AM1 trades$8320 min
6/20/2026, 1:35:47 AM2 trades$6520 min
6/18/2026, 7:12:49 AM3 trades$5822 min
7/24/2026, 11:59:51 AM3 trades$5420 min
8/2/2026, 2:39:24 PM1 trades$4950 min
8/4/2026, 2:03:47 AM2 trades$4852 min
7/24/2026, 9:59:15 AM2 trades$4560 min
7/24/2026, 5:43:24 AM7 trades$4560 min
7/28/2026, 2:32:26 PM1 trades$3550 min
6/21/2026, 11:42:22 AM2 trades$3480 min
6/18/2026, 5:48:17 PM2 trades$3350 min
6/18/2026, 3:46:05 AM5 trades$3022 min
7/14/2026, 11:44:34 PM2 trades$2941 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-14
06-18
06-22
07-01
07-23
07-28
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M18.6 / H65.6