@5480paragon

#1,916,79155

0xc844d4b7a1dd7cf580c7a9ca1ea49f2ce2b0d1be

~19d· 50 markets · 304 tradesVol: $25,3412026-08-05 02:23:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (7/16)6.9/20
2.65x (win $21 / loss $8)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.44015/15
Sortino 16.34010/10
$+0.0006 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2081 (16 markets)2.1/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($8 / $13)1.9/10

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,175,224$-6Vol: $11,535
SPORTS#1,202,283$-5Vol: $9,689
CRYPTO#883,895$-1Vol: $2,416
🎭 CULTURE#497,934$-1Vol: $1,432
💰 FINANCE#376,925$-0Vol: $184
📈 ECONOMICS#333,955$-0Vol: $87

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,341
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
152B / 152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $160
Month
$-1
Vol: $160
All Time
$-13
Vol: $25,341

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
7W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
44%
7W / 9L
Profit Factor
2.65x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (1.5507936507936508% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$11
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$8
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$1
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?$0

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Will Jonas Sulzbach win Big Brother Brasil 26?$-1
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-0
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$-0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?$-0
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.272
Sortino
0.805
HHI
773
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
17.3%
Half-Kelly
8.6%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
54.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.7m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 477s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.25
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)90.1%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 11:31:50 AM2 trades$2,0050 min
4/14/2026, 11:00:28 PM2 trades$1,3300 min
7/1/2026, 1:16:41 AM2 trades$1,1060 min
6/29/2026, 10:51:34 AM2 trades$1,0830 min
6/30/2026, 8:02:31 AM2 trades$1,0670 min
7/1/2026, 3:36:14 AM2 trades$1,0640 min
6/30/2026, 7:11:59 AM2 trades$1,0390 min
6/30/2026, 7:30:31 AM2 trades$1,0390 min
6/29/2026, 11:51:28 AM2 trades$1,0360 min
6/30/2026, 7:46:11 AM2 trades$1,0350 min
7/1/2026, 3:14:44 AM2 trades$1,0130 min
7/1/2026, 1:49:52 AM2 trades$8730 min
6/29/2026, 11:17:32 AM2 trades$8510 min
4/16/2026, 2:45:48 AM3 trades$7250 min
4/15/2026, 12:30:52 AM2 trades$7250 min
4/17/2026, 12:19:58 AM2 trades$7160 min
4/16/2026, 4:42:52 AM2 trades$6960 min
4/17/2026, 2:24:38 AM2 trades$6850 min
4/15/2026, 12:08:08 AM2 trades$6740 min
4/16/2026, 4:08:48 AM2 trades$6570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
03-28
04-14
04-16
04-17
05-10
06-29
06-30
07-15
07-20
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.9 / M0 / H90.1