@QuittingIsABet

#3,007,34213

0xc86b5c3ff7b76d85a07817d196bf058215876e26

~19d· 115 markets · 571 tradesVol: $131,8542026-08-04 17:19:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (42/115)3.3/20
0.59x (win $5,790 / loss $9,838)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2280/15
Sortino -7.7940/10
$-0.2733 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 971 (115 markets)7.6/10
7/19 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($4,048 / $0)0/10

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,850,526$-1,808Vol: $124,248
🌤️ WEATHER#295,433$-508Vol: $7,602
₿ CRYPTO#387,838$1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,315
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$131,854
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
185B / 386S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
42W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$-2,315
Win Rate
37%
42W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$138
Avg Loss
$-149

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,936 (0.8365937959042599% of PnL)

Top Winners

Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5$1,229
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$434
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$273
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$266
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$256
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$226
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$225
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$217
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$164
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5$164

Top Losers

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-712
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$-407
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$-400
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-400
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-400
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-317
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score$-300
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5$-300
Colombia vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5$-300
Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5$-269

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.368
Sortino
-0.607
HHI
1165
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.231
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.2%
Top-5 markets
45.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule21 trades/day — high frequency4.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.37
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)51.4%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 6:39:59 AM65 trades$3,68917 min
7/7/2026, 5:41:26 PM15 trades$3,4995 min
6/26/2026, 7:37:49 PM24 trades$2,93118 min
7/6/2026, 2:56:58 AM5 trades$2,0600 min
6/26/2026, 1:10:53 AM18 trades$1,8243 min
7/7/2026, 6:01:38 PM12 trades$1,5200 min
6/23/2026, 8:00:34 PM21 trades$1,3292 min
6/27/2026, 8:47:34 PM18 trades$1,2652 min
6/27/2026, 4:12:56 AM15 trades$1,2014 min
6/24/2026, 2:10:46 PM14 trades$1,1241 min
6/26/2026, 7:12:25 AM22 trades$1,0892 min
7/1/2026, 12:49:20 AM4 trades$1,0091 min
6/24/2026, 3:52:25 AM21 trades$9873 min
7/2/2026, 7:45:17 PM5 trades$9171 min
7/7/2026, 5:52:32 PM12 trades$8760 min
6/23/2026, 7:36:05 PM12 trades$7900 min
6/24/2026, 8:02:44 PM10 trades$6502 min
6/24/2026, 3:30:53 AM4 trades$6114 min
6/27/2026, 2:26:05 AM9 trades$6030 min
6/27/2026, 2:43:11 AM20 trades$5836 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
06-26
06-30
07-03
07-07
07-10
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.9 / M29.7 / H51.4