@cupholder

#2,807,3932

0xc88f87797433aaed165cfe2c8d98690f5d995e95

~6d· 21 markets · 242 tradesVol: $10,9442026-08-04 15:05:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (4/21)0/20
0.10x (win $81 / loss $823)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.8866 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2058 (21 markets)2.2/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($742 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
💻 TECH#255,160$-376Vol: $5,964
₿ CRYPTO#1,349,174$-37Vol: $3,219
🌤️ WEATHER#244,151$-10Vol: $1,522
💰 FINANCE#23,477$61Vol: $238

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-361
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,944
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
75B / 167S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
4W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-361
Win Rate
19%
4W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79 (0.2198638476865176% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$65
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$5
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?$-280
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$-182
Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?$-182
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$-110
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?$-24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 10?$-6
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-5
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.561
Sortino
-0.544
HHI
1615
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.887
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22%
Top-5 markets
87.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
55s
between trades
Avg Gap
46.1m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 55s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.52
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.3%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 10:39:43 PM42 trades$1,12714 min
6/15/2026, 8:34:36 PM20 trades$5370 min
7/10/2026, 9:23:01 PM22 trades$3452 min
7/10/2026, 11:30:16 PM15 trades$32611 min
6/16/2026, 5:37:30 AM10 trades$2530 min
7/10/2026, 11:53:19 PM5 trades$2390 min
7/1/2026, 8:00:38 AM2 trades$2340 min
6/16/2026, 6:11:21 AM8 trades$2230 min
7/10/2026, 10:25:10 PM4 trades$2000 min
7/7/2026, 7:43:25 PM13 trades$1962 min
7/10/2026, 8:57:58 PM12 trades$1901 min
7/9/2026, 10:08:58 AM17 trades$1200 min
6/15/2026, 6:08:37 PM7 trades$1160 min
7/7/2026, 9:09:43 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/10/2026, 9:06:17 PM8 trades$791 min
7/10/2026, 8:52:26 PM10 trades$590 min
7/10/2026, 6:01:56 AM17 trades$431 min
7/7/2026, 8:12:13 PM10 trades$322 min
7/10/2026, 11:05:35 PM2 trades$160 min
7/7/2026, 8:38:14 PM2 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
07-01
07-07
07-09
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
33.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.52/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.3 / M12 / H26.7