@mjhd

#1,916,4719

0xc8967a60340c67d13cf3171f3e843b917d7152da

~11d· 40 markets · 98 tradesVol: $23,0152026-08-05 01:48:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (11/35)0.7/20
0.38x (win $5 / loss $14)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.9670/15
Sortino -11.8260/10
$-0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 861 (35 markets)8.2/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($10 / $0)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,203,372$-7Vol: $9,103
📈 ECONOMICS#451,049$-1Vol: $4,298
₿ CRYPTO#908,519$-2Vol: $3,236
🎭 CULTURE#562,351$-2Vol: $3,161
💰 FINANCE#415,174$-0Vol: $2,164
💻 TECH#205,347$-2Vol: $1,051
⚽ SPORTS#443,944$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,015
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
48B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $1,061
Month
$-3
Vol: $1,061
All Time
$-13
Vol: $23,015

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
11W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
31%
11W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.24066719618745033% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the median home value in the US be between $414,000 and $416,000 by February 1?$1
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?$1
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)$1
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?$0
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany by November 30?$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$0
Will Palantir reach $264 in November?$0

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-3
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$-2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-1
Will Celsius say "Amazon" during earnings call?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$-1
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?$-1
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.684
Sortino
-1.102
HHI
513
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
30.4%
Half-Kelly
15.2%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
36.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
54s
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)93.8%

Sessions

#12
10/16/2025, 8:54:35 PM19 trades$3,27332 min
4/9/2026, 4:14:27 AM12 trades$3,2402 min
10/29/2025, 7:32:27 AM9 trades$3,2296 min
11/23/2025, 8:52:07 AM10 trades$3,1674 min
11/6/2025, 12:53:11 AM7 trades$2,1494 min
11/29/2025, 8:28:17 AM8 trades$2,0965 min
12/7/2025, 8:38:01 AM5 trades$1,0844 min
8/3/2026, 12:43:00 AM18 trades$1,0811 min
1/17/2026, 9:14:16 AM4 trades$1,0791 min
11/12/2025, 12:51:50 AM3 trades$1,0711 min
12/31/2025, 2:07:03 AM3 trades$1,0700 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
10-29
11-06
11-23
11-29
12-07
12-31
01-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M0 / H93.8