@cotionj

#2,547,85116

0xc89e15fff57540af308c4287c0c92c919539cf92

~8d· 33 markets · 214 tradesVol: $11,0762026-08-04 19:12:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (3/13)0/20
2.07x (win $75 / loss $36)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0110 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 4558 (13 markets)0/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 93% of peak ($36 / $39)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#171,051$10Vol: $3,969
💻 TECH#233,655$-17Vol: $2,117
💰 FINANCE#599,615$-22Vol: $1,643
🎭 CULTURE#647,919$-5Vol: $1,507
⚽ SPORTS#910,621$-1Vol: $700
🌤️ WEATHER#279,131$-62Vol: $440
📈 ECONOMICS#476,437$-1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,076
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
137B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-100
Vol: $11,076

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
3W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-100
Win Rate
23%
3W / 10L
Profit Factor
2.07x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $75 (0.7543103448275863% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$68
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?$7
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$-9
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?$-9
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$-7
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 24?$-3
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 24?$-1
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.200
Sortino
0.670
HHI
300
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
23.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 476s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.54
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)65.7%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 4:26:37 PM8 trades$3345 min
7/27/2026, 6:46:21 AM6 trades$2920 min
7/28/2026, 7:09:03 AM4 trades$2900 min
7/26/2026, 7:50:09 PM5 trades$2850 min
7/25/2026, 6:49:00 PM4 trades$2850 min
7/25/2026, 5:18:49 PM5 trades$2800 min
7/28/2026, 2:46:23 PM5 trades$2710 min
7/27/2026, 4:11:37 AM6 trades$2700 min
7/28/2026, 8:31:36 AM7 trades$2700 min
7/27/2026, 6:16:04 PM4 trades$2700 min
7/27/2026, 7:41:58 AM6 trades$2410 min
7/27/2026, 9:49:54 AM4 trades$1960 min
7/25/2026, 1:57:37 PM4 trades$1950 min
7/26/2026, 6:55:00 PM4 trades$1910 min
7/27/2026, 12:33:34 PM3 trades$1470 min
7/26/2026, 2:29:52 PM4 trades$1410 min
7/27/2026, 3:29:43 PM3 trades$1400 min
7/28/2026, 7:40:14 PM3 trades$1370 min
7/28/2026, 2:04:27 AM4 trades$1080 min
7/26/2026, 11:37:34 PM4 trades$1070 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-24
07-26
07-27
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
15.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.3 / M0 / H65.7