@ernestosparalesto
#2,387,381310xc91154964918c3f73c40cec0a171cb195ae5a7ff
~46d· 195 markets · 729 tradesVol: $3,6132026-08-04 20:59:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
57% (39/68)13.7/20
0.72x (win $269 / loss $371)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2770/15
Sortino -2.4590/10
$-0.0553 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 277 (68 markets)10/10
18/30 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 291% of peak ($168 / $58)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,364,204$-18Vol: $1,412
⚽ SPORTS#1,571,779$-44Vol: $582
💰 FINANCE#541,708$-5Vol: $419
₿ CRYPTO#373,767$2Vol: $323
🌤️ WEATHER#202,373$-2Vol: $286
🎭 CULTURE#90,721$5Vol: $234
📈 ECONOMICS#111,605$1Vol: $193
💻 TECH#34,380$2Vol: $126
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-55
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,613
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
354B / 375S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d
Periods
#2Today
$-4
Vol: $43
Week
$5
Vol: $212
Month
$5
Vol: $285
All Time
$-55
Vol: $3,613
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
39W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-55
Win Rate
58%
39W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-22
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $82 (1.4720317574882713% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$45
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$19
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?$18
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$17
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$12
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$12
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$10
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$9
Top Losers
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-129
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-29
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-26
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-24
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-15
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$-14
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.117
Sortino
-0.091
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.122
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
10.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.2
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7449s — normal for humanCV 0.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active4.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.1
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)94.1%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 9:29:05 PM104 trades$2790 min
6/21/2026, 7:32:35 PM4 trades$1014 min
6/21/2026, 8:36:13 PM2 trades$940 min
6/19/2026, 2:57:53 PM28 trades$803 min
6/18/2026, 10:33:02 PM2 trades$630 min
6/23/2026, 12:18:34 PM14 trades$591 min
7/17/2026, 3:53:54 PM10 trades$495 min
6/22/2026, 1:49:32 AM7 trades$451 min
6/27/2026, 8:24:08 PM4 trades$370 min
7/3/2026, 9:07:02 PM6 trades$361 min
7/1/2026, 12:17:25 PM4 trades$360 min
6/21/2026, 3:12:41 PM5 trades$350 min
6/28/2026, 10:24:08 PM5 trades$320 min
7/13/2026, 7:20:38 AM6 trades$311 min
7/13/2026, 7:59:40 PM6 trades$302 min
7/1/2026, 3:25:53 PM5 trades$291 min
6/27/2026, 3:07:58 AM6 trades$291 min
6/29/2026, 2:42:20 AM2 trades$280 min
6/25/2026, 11:08:47 PM6 trades$281 min
7/3/2026, 6:02:05 PM4 trades$271 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-23
06-28
07-05
07-17
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.3 / M5.6 / H94.1