@martonis

#493,31730

0xc973fafc735ff60b224a3175f51fe3055a6c7268

~22d· 20 markets · 152 tradesVol: $70,2862026-08-05 15:51:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (18/20)20/20
0.28x (win $110 / loss $397)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4870/15
Sortino -3.4520/10
$-0.0083 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2554 (20 markets)0/10
15/16 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 548% of peak ($397 / $72)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+10
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Consistent
15/16 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#297,889$5Vol: $65,743
💰 FINANCE#78,975$4Vol: $4,404
🎭 CULTURE#155,403$1Vol: $138

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,286
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
69B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
18W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$10
Win Rate
90%
18W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-397

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $71 (6.976424361493123% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?$29
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 7?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?$9
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9?$2
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 25?$0

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-397

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.177
Sortino
-17926.250
HHI
1419
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23%
Top-5 markets
74.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.9m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)94.2%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 9:57:09 PM2 trades$12,5000 min
7/9/2026, 11:19:16 AM6 trades$7,9860 min
6/3/2026, 9:43:43 PM3 trades$5,1220 min
7/7/2026, 8:26:47 AM2 trades$4,4840 min
6/5/2026, 1:53:33 PM2 trades$4,4540 min
6/8/2026, 11:35:58 AM3 trades$4,4540 min
6/27/2026, 10:46:08 AM29 trades$4,4040 min
2/13/2025, 12:25:56 PM1 trades$2,0240 min
2/16/2025, 7:56:52 PM1 trades$2,0210 min
2/4/2025, 11:08:24 AM1 trades$1,9960 min
2/8/2025, 8:15:42 AM1 trades$1,9820 min
2/2/2025, 9:47:49 AM7 trades$1,9824 min
2/1/2025, 3:35:04 PM1 trades$1,8300 min
2/8/2025, 9:42:54 AM5 trades$1,08810 min
1/23/2025, 3:55:05 AM1 trades$9020 min
6/3/2026, 9:37:22 PM3 trades$7020 min
2/7/2025, 4:05:40 AM2 trades$6061 min
2/11/2025, 8:54:24 AM1 trades$5750 min
2/7/2025, 4:44:28 AM9 trades$55315 min
2/8/2025, 9:58:18 AM1 trades$5010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-13
02-19
03-06
03-17
06-03
06-08
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 129 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M0 / H94.2