@0xcAF592…2857

#71,06153

0xcaf59289145789242a4af6b975997344229841ab

~152d· 2348 markets · 9591 tradesVol: $195,8022026-08-04 19:59:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (1017/2329)6.8/20
1.16x (win $10,784 / loss $9,293)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.01015/15
Sortino 4.49510/10
$+0.0594 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 15 (2329 markets)10/10
65/146 profitable days (45%)3.6/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($1,057 / $1,491)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,262
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#1,289$1,363Vol: $118,882
SPORTS#1,807,480$-604Vol: $28,819
🏛️ POLITICS#1,249,129$-9Vol: $22,016
📢 MENTIONS#1,832$632Vol: $11,274
🎭 CULTURE#739,391$-27Vol: $4,043
CRYPTO#250,823$8Vol: $3,339
💰 FINANCE#622,333$-59Vol: $2,863
📈 ECONOMICS#30,361$18Vol: $402
💻 TECH#14,605$16Vol: $284

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,262
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$195,802
Total Redeem
$99
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2348
total markets
Trades
5924B / 3667S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d

Periods

#2
Today
$164
Vol: $2,833
Week
$52
Vol: $6,286
Month
$-10
Vol: $9,736
All Time
$1,262
Vol: $195,802

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
1017W / 1312L events
Realized PnL
$1,262
Win Rate
44%
1017W / 1312L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,154 (0.9142723607183314% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$672
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$250
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?$232
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$179
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?$163
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$151
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$149
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?$128
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 10?$120
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$116

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-87
Flames vs. Capitals$-78
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 9?$-69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?$-68
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$-66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-59
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-54
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.105
Sortino
0.218
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.3
Very active
Markets / Day
14.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock60 trades/day — mass trading15 markets/day — mass coverage56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.1%
Mid (20-55c)30.5%
High (>55c)47.3%

Sessions

#12
3/16/2026, 8:16:41 AM200 trades$45137 min
6/9/2026, 3:22:16 AM2 trades$3770 min
6/16/2026, 1:14:44 PM6 trades$2171 min
5/29/2026, 7:18:34 AM6 trades$2141 min
6/21/2026, 2:22:23 PM9 trades$2096 min
3/8/2026, 5:32:25 PM30 trades$20810 min
6/7/2026, 12:42:21 AM2 trades$1890 min
6/11/2026, 5:05:48 PM6 trades$1842 min
3/8/2026, 9:43:45 PM4 trades$1752 min
3/9/2026, 10:40:53 PM8 trades$1725 min
6/15/2026, 6:20:57 PM9 trades$1704 min
6/10/2026, 7:55:21 PM27 trades$16819 min
5/7/2026, 7:45:37 AM6 trades$1673 min
6/15/2026, 5:45:57 AM15 trades$1645 min
6/17/2026, 7:47:58 PM25 trades$15620 min
3/8/2026, 9:55:05 PM12 trades$14911 min
6/12/2026, 2:02:42 AM11 trades$1462 min
6/4/2026, 7:15:04 AM11 trades$1427 min
6/16/2026, 6:39:57 AM3 trades$1420 min
6/13/2026, 10:51:06 AM9 trades$1401 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-23
04-21
05-20
06-14
07-08
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.1 / M30.5 / H47.3