@chicho

#2,901,72710

0xca00024cebb5e6caa04991882ffccd3739c769a9

~76d· 54 markets · 331 tradesVol: $17,4912026-08-04 18:12:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (19/51)3.6/20
0.37x (win $315 / loss $850)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9070/15
Sortino -5.1060/10
$-0.0717 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1502 (51 markets)5/10
8/22 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($534 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#641,326$-189Vol: $10,684
🏛️ POLITICS#1,588,031$-377Vol: $3,446
🎭 CULTURE#65,575$11Vol: $1,388
⚽ SPORTS#1,717,896$-151Vol: $1,353
₿ CRYPTO#279,291$6Vol: $214
📢 MENTIONS#122,667$-7Vol: $194
📈 ECONOMICS#659,957$-100Vol: $116
💻 TECH#14,670$16Vol: $94

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-792
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,491
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
229B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$-40
Vol: $0
Week
$81
Vol: $0
Month
$-58
Vol: $42
All Time
$-792
Vol: $17,491

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
19W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-792
Win Rate
37%
19W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $224 (0.2828828601365938% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$161
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?$37
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$23
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?$16
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$6
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$6
Will Trump say "Don't Take Tylenol" in October?$6
Will JD Vance say "Haitian" during the debate?$4

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-358
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-203
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$-100
Epstein client list released by June 30?$-70
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?$-20
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$-20
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$-14
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$-10
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times?$-5
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.251
Sortino
-0.237
HHI
143
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.217
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
21.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
55.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3336s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)54.1%

Sessions

#12
2/23/2026, 2:19:14 PM7 trades$8350 min
5/20/2026, 11:49:17 PM6 trades$6850 min
8/19/2024, 11:05:19 PM9 trades$5233 min
6/25/2026, 3:27:08 PM12 trades$5220 min
4/7/2026, 4:47:39 PM7 trades$4040 min
6/11/2026, 4:54:40 PM10 trades$3471 min
7/31/2026, 4:02:17 AM4 trades$3380 min
1/28/2026, 1:27:15 PM3 trades$3053 min
11/5/2024, 11:46:53 PM1 trades$3000 min
6/21/2026, 3:26:55 PM10 trades$2920 min
6/11/2026, 5:05:58 PM5 trades$2900 min
4/6/2026, 2:02:47 PM12 trades$2660 min
6/11/2026, 7:13:31 PM8 trades$2190 min
2/19/2026, 5:00:26 PM2 trades$2091 min
12/18/2025, 4:59:44 AM2 trades$1961 min
4/5/2026, 1:31:25 PM7 trades$1460 min
1/21/2026, 1:50:08 AM5 trades$14510 min
7/6/2026, 4:52:46 AM2 trades$1160 min
12/18/2025, 4:07:02 PM1 trades$1160 min
6/6/2026, 5:17:43 PM3 trades$1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-19
10-02
09-22
10-05
12-18
01-07
05-20
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M30.1 / H54.1