Heretowinmate

@Heretowinmate

#3,062,04024

0xca535483cbf2958f9cc75d05b97d087103502dff

~47d· 52 markets · 168 tradesVol: $386,5152026-08-04 18:58:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (26/52)10/20
0.38x (win $7,688 / loss $20,208)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.4040/15
Sortino -6.4670/10
$-0.1416 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 566 (52 markets)9.7/10
18/37 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 2741% of peak ($13,251 / $483)0/10

Badges

1
Whale
$88,390 invested

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,670,655$-5,883Vol: $182,778
⚽ SPORTS#1,864,687$-3,095Vol: $60,576
🏛️ POLITICS#32,866$353Vol: $52,365
🎭 CULTURE#814,219$-2,374Vol: $26,056
📈 ECONOMICS#14,067$81Vol: $15,002
💰 FINANCE#15,411$136Vol: $3,664
📢 MENTIONS#18,056$12Vol: $1,782

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,671
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$386,515
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
80B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
25W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-12,671
Win Rate
49%
25W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$296
Avg Loss
$-777

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,620 (0.2856715574551906% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,583
Steelers vs. Bengals$1,054
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$984
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-08?$675
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23?$631
Will Solana dip to $140 in July?$339
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?$335
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$293
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$248
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$212

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$-3,087
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$-2,559
Eagles vs. Giants$-1,929
US military action against Iran before July?$-1,500
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 17?$-1,163
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$-1,032
Raptors vs. Cavaliers$-979
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?$-800
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-798
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$-732

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.331
Sortino
-0.330
HHI
380
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.141
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
33%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1150s — normal for humanCV 1.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.37
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.2%
High (>55c)66.2%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 9:08:38 PM3 trades$16,2200 min
11/9/2025, 9:59:33 AM4 trades$8,9230 min
11/3/2025, 9:35:03 PM1 trades$8,2930 min
10/29/2025, 3:23:37 AM2 trades$8,0103 min
7/11/2026, 8:12:19 AM7 trades$7,6394 min
11/7/2025, 2:38:27 AM1 trades$6,5930 min
10/27/2025, 6:59:15 AM2 trades$5,2152 min
11/4/2025, 12:12:11 PM9 trades$4,81612 min
11/10/2025, 12:26:31 AM3 trades$4,7382 min
6/24/2026, 8:40:32 PM15 trades$3,9720 min
7/11/2026, 8:28:01 AM4 trades$3,8170 min
10/22/2025, 6:40:39 AM2 trades$3,5401 min
10/3/2025, 12:11:51 PM1 trades$3,4960 min
10/13/2025, 7:05:01 PM2 trades$3,4860 min
11/10/2025, 1:01:07 AM2 trades$3,3040 min
10/3/2025, 10:39:13 AM1 trades$3,1610 min
8/26/2025, 8:31:19 AM1 trades$2,9680 min
10/17/2025, 8:35:07 AM1 trades$2,9380 min
10/17/2025, 3:21:57 AM1 trades$2,9380 min
6/27/2026, 2:57:10 AM2 trades$2,8570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
08-26
10-17
10-30
03-08
06-27
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 278 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M21.2 / H66.2