military

@military

#188,88768

0xca57c7ba3fef7818709107dcfb9848b5de39cdf9

~57d· 55 markets · 400 tradesVol: $120,7742026-08-06 16:42:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (42/52)20/20
1.59x (win $467 / loss $293)9.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.14915/15
Sortino 3.70810/10
$+0.0050 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 6167 (52 markets)0/10
29/38 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($182 / $339)3.3/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+166
DCA Master
Avg 7.4 entries/market
Consistent
29/38 profitable days
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#75,040$73Vol: $105,042
₿ CRYPTO#88,888$109Vol: $12,260
⚽ SPORTS#365,044$3Vol: $2,700
💰 FINANCE#72,756$5Vol: $457
📈 ECONOMICS#633,613$-25Vol: $310
🎭 CULTURE#315,167$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$166
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$120,774
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
204B / 196S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$166
Vol: $120,774

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
42W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$166
Win Rate
81%
42W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $296 (1.7778847310792925% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $182
Ethereum all time high before 2026?$77
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in October?$37
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$22
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$17
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$14
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$13
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?$10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$10

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-95
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?$-79
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-78
US recession in 2025?$-28
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?$-8
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-4
Will Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025?$-1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?$-1
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.111
Sortino
0.114
HHI
5671
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
74.7%
Top-5 markets
89.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.4m
between trades
Night Trading
53%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)53% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.4
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)40.7%
High (>55c)52.9%

Sessions

#12
10/19/2024, 2:21:02 PM3 trades$5,2814 min
10/19/2024, 7:25:34 AM9 trades$5,0625 min
10/18/2024, 3:22:12 PM21 trades$4,42022 min
10/19/2024, 6:29:56 AM12 trades$3,7477 min
10/19/2024, 1:39:55 AM10 trades$3,2726 min
10/18/2024, 2:45:36 PM11 trades$3,10514 min
10/18/2024, 5:48:35 PM3 trades$2,3550 min
10/18/2024, 5:54:07 PM5 trades$2,3143 min
10/18/2024, 4:35:09 PM7 trades$2,1258 min
10/19/2024, 7:04:04 AM4 trades$1,9917 min
10/18/2024, 7:22:32 AM3 trades$1,8612 min
10/19/2024, 7:36:54 AM2 trades$1,7771 min
10/19/2024, 2:31:44 PM3 trades$1,7600 min
10/18/2024, 3:08:54 PM2 trades$1,7473 min
10/19/2024, 1:53:20 PM1 trades$1,6780 min
10/19/2024, 6:43:54 AM11 trades$1,38111 min
10/19/2024, 12:27:52 AM2 trades$1,3292 min
10/19/2024, 1:02:21 AM29 trades$1,24510 min
10/19/2024, 3:32:56 AM2 trades$1,2450 min
10/19/2024, 3:53:04 AM1 trades$1,2450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
11-27
12-19
03-02
05-09
10-11
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 179 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M40.7 / H52.9